Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Feb 27 2018

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Ease; Crude Oil Costs Rise

  Retail gasoline prices slipped to $2.55 per gallon last week (+10.1% y/y) from $2.56 per gallon during the prior week. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal variation in gasoline pump prices. The seasonally- [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 26 2018

  Texas Factory Sector Index Strengthens

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas indicated in its Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey that the February General Business Activity Index improved to 37.2, its highest level since December 2005. Strength in production, shipments and [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 26 2018

  U.S. New Home Sales & Prices Decline

  Sales of new single-family homes fell 7.8% (-1.0% y/y) to 593,000 (SAAR) during January following December's decline to 643,000, revised from 625,000. It was the lowest level of sales since August. Expectations had been for 641,000 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 23 2018

  Kansas City Federal Reserve Factory Index Advances

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City reported that its index of regional manufacturing sector business activity rose to 17 during February, the highest level since October. The index was up from -12 in December 2015. The ISM- [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 22 2018

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Surge

  The Conference Board's Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators strengthened 1.0% during January. That raised the y/y change to 6.2%, its strongest since October 2014. The latest increase followed an unrevised 0.6% December [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 22 2018

  U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Ease

  Initial unemployment insurance claims fell to 222,000 (-10.9% y/y) during the week ended February 17 from 229,000 in the prior week, revised from 230,000. Expectations had been for 230,000 claims in the Action Economics Forecast [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 21 2018

  U.S. Existing Home Sales Falter

  The National Association of Realtors reported that sales of existing homes declined 3.2% during January (-4.8% y/y) to 5.380 million (AR) from 5.560 million in December, revised from 5.570 million. Expectations were for 5.620 million [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 21 2018

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Fall Sharply

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Applications Volume Index declined 6.6% last week (+0.4% y/y) and added to the prior week's 4.1% fall. Purchase loan applications dropped 6.2% (+4.0% y/y), about the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 21 2018

  U.S. Energy Product Costs Weaken

  Retail gasoline prices fell to $2.56 per gallon last week (+11.1% y/y) from $2.61 per gallon. Prices reached a peak level of $2.64 two weeks ago. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal variation in gasoline pump [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 20 2018

  Philadelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Activity Strengthens

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's Nonmanufacturing Business Index of current conditions at the company level increased to 32.1 in February from 29.3 during January. It was the highest index level since April. Forty-six [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 16 2018

  U.S. Import & Export Prices Strengthen Broadly

  Import prices increased 1.0% during January (3.6% y/y) for the second time in three months. A 0.6% rise had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. These figures are not seasonally adjusted. Petroleum import prices [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 16 2018

  U.S. Housing Starts & Building Permits Increase

  Total housing starts increased 9.7% (7.3% y/y) during January to 1.326 million (AR) from 1.209 million in December, revised from 1.192 million. It was the highest level of starts since October 2016. A level of 1.227 million starts had [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief