The Conference Board's Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators strengthened 0.8% during January following an unrevised 0.3% December decline. It was the largest increase since October 2017. The latest reading compared to a 0.4% [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Feb 20 2020U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Show Surprising Improvement
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Feb 20 2020
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index Surges Unexpectedly
The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia reported that its General Factory Sector Business Conditions Index improved to 36.7 during February from January's 17.0. It was the highest level in three years. An index of 10.2 had been [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Feb 19 2020
U.S. Energy Product Prices Edge Higher
Retail gasoline prices rose to $2.43 per gallon (4.8% y/y) in the week ended February 17 from $2.42 per gallon in the previous week. This followed five consecutive weeks of decline and the price compared to an early-May peak of $2.90 [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Feb 19 2020
E-Commerce Sales Strengthen
The U.S. Commerce Department reported that during the fourth quarter of last year, retail sales via the internet (E-Commerce) increased 2.6% (SA) from Q3. The gain followed a 4.6% Q3 rise, and was the weakest increase since Q4'18. [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Feb 19 2020
U.S. Producer Price Index & Core Price Index Strengthen
The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.5% (2.1% y/y) during January following a 0.2% rise, revised from 0.1%. A 0.1% gain had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Producer prices excluding food & [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Feb 18 2020
U.S. Home Builder Sentiment Slips
The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo fell slightly during February. The index level of 74 compared to 75 in January but remained up 19.4% y/y. It remained, however, near the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Feb 18 2020
Empire State Manufacturing Conditions Strengthen
The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions increased to a nine-month high of 12.9 during February, extending modest gains during the prior two months. A reading of 5.0 had been expected in the Action Economics [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Feb 14 2020
U.S. Housing Affordability Declines As House Prices Rise
The National Association of Realtors reported that its Fixed Rate Mortgage Housing Affordability Index fell 1.2% m/m (+10.4% y/y) to 161.8 in December from 163.7 in November. It was the lowest level of affordability since August and [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Feb 14 2020
U.S. Business Inventories Edge Higher While Sales Ease
Total business inventories rose an expected 0.1% (2.2% y/y) during December following an unrevised 0.2% November decline. The expected figure is from the Informa Global Markets survey. At the same time, business sales fell 0.1% (+1.7% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Feb 14 2020
U.S. Retail Sales Rise Steadily
Total retail sales including food service establishments increased 0.3% (4.4% y/y) during January following a 0.2% December gain, revised from 0.3%. The increase matched expectations in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Retail [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Feb 14 2020
U.S. Retail Sales Rise Steadily
Total retail sales including food service establishments increased 0.3% (4.4% y/y) during January following a 0.2% December gain, revised from 0.3%. The increase matched expectations in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Retail [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Feb 13 2020
U.S. Consumer Price Inflation Remains Modest
The Consumer Price Index edged up minimally during January. The 0.1% uptick followed two months of 0.2% increase. A 0.2% rise had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Despite the weak yearend showing, the 2.5% y/y [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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