Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Feb 18 2021

  U.S. Housing Starts Decline in January

  • Total starts back away from 2006 high. • Single-family housing starts are notably weak. • Building permits increase for third straight month. Strength in home building waned last month. Housing starts declined 6.0% (-2.3% y/y) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 17 2021

  U.S. Business Inventory Accumulation Continued in December as Sales Strengthen

  • Business inventories rise for six straight months. • Sales increase after holding steady. • Total business inventory-to-sales ratio remains at six-year low. Total business inventories increased 0.6% during December (-2.6% y/y) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 17 2021

  U.S. Home Builder Index Edges Higher During February

  • Housing market activity remains below earlier high. • Improvement in the Northeast accompanies mixed performance elsewhere. The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo improved 1.2% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 16 2021

  Empire State Manufacturing Index Improves During February

  • Business conditions measure increases for first time in five months. • Component improvement is widespread. • Prices strengthen. The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions increased to 12.1 in February from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 12 2021

  U.S. Housing Affordability Continues to Improve During December

  • Declines in home prices & interest rates boost buying power. • Monthly payments move lower. The National Association of Realtors reported that its Fixed Rate Mortgage Housing Affordability Index jumped 2.1% (2.8% y/y) to 171.8 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 11 2021

  U.S. Initial Jobless Insurance Claims and Continuing Claims Decline

  • State initial claims fall to the lowest level in five weeks. • Continuing claims also decrease to a four-week low. • Insured jobless rate eases to lowest level since late-March. Initial claims for unemployment insurance declined to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 10 2021

  U.S. Government Budget Deficit Deepens in January

  • Deficit share of GDP continues to balloon. • Outlay surge driven by coronavirus aid. • Higher unemployment reduces personal tax receipts. The U.S. Treasury Department reported that the federal budget deficit of $162.8 billion during [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 10 2021

  U.S. Government Budget Deficit Deepens in January

  • Deficit share of GDP continues to balloon. • Outlay surge driven by coronavirus aid. • Higher unemployment reduces personal tax receipts. The U.S. Treasury Department reported that the federal budget deficit of $162.8 billion during [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 10 2021

  U.S. Consumer Price Inflation Picks Up in January; Core Prices Stabilize

  • Higher energy prices fuel last month's increase. • Services prices remain unchanged for a second straight month. • Goods price inflation is minimal. The Consumer Price Index rose 0.3% (1.4% y/y) during January following a 0.2% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 09 2021

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rate Rebounds During December; Hiring Rate Falls Sharply

  • Both the job openings rate & the number of openings improve. • Hiring activity weakens. • Layoffs decline as the level of quits increases. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that on the last business day of December, the total [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 09 2021

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Index Eases During January

  • NFIB Small Business Optimism slips to lowest level since May. • Worries about economic growth & sales persist. • Pricing power improves marginally. The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) reported that its Small [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 08 2021

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Price Strength Diminishes

  • Metals prices decline. • Price gains elsewhere continue. The Industrial Materials Price Index, from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER), increased a modest 0.9% during the four weeks ended [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief