Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Feb 25 2021

  U.S. GDP Growth Revised Up Minimally in Q4'20

  • Year-end GDP growth remains markedly below Q3's growth with broad-based component weakening. • Decline in activity during all of 2020 remains largest of post-WWII period. • Price gains remain lower in Q4. Real GDP rose 4.1% (SAAR) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 25 2021

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Fall Sharply

  • First-time claims are at lowest level since late-November. • Continuing claims continue their downward trend. • Insured jobless rate eases. Initial jobless insurance claims declined 111,000 in the week ended February 20 to 730,000 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 24 2021

  U.S. New Home Sales Fall Sharply in February

  • Sales decline across the country. • Median house prices ease. Harsh winter weather throughout the country kept many potential home buyers indoors last month. Sales of new single-family homes declined 18.2% (+8.2% y/y) during [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 24 2021

  U.S. New Home Sales Improve During January

  • Sales post widespread gains in most of country. • Median house prices decline. Sales of new single-family homes rose 4.3% (19.3% y/y) to 923,000 (SAAR) during January following a 5.5% December rise to 885,000, revised from 842,000. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 24 2021

  U.S. New Home Sales Improve During January

  • Sales post widespread gains in most of country. • Median house prices decline. Sales of new single-family homes rose 4.3% (19.3% y/y) to 923,000 (SAAR) during January following a 5.5% December rise to 885,000, revised from 842,000. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 24 2021

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Decline as Interest Rates Continue to Increase

  • Purchase and refinancing loan applications fall. • Mortgage interest rates rise further. The Mortgage Bankers Association Mortgage Loan Applications Index declined 11.4% (+33.0% y/y) in the week ended February 19. It has declined in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 23 2021

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Increases in February

  • Consumer confidence added to its January improvement. • Current conditions reading gains while expectations weaken. • Job market readings improve. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index increased 2.7% (-31.1% y/y) to 91.3 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 23 2021

  U.S. Energy Prices Surge as Texas Freeze Limits Supply

  • Gasoline prices jump with refinery shutdowns. • Oil prices surge also as production is cut back. • Natural gas output is notably reduced with deep freeze in South. The price of regular gasoline strengthened to $2.63 per gallon (6.8% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 22 2021

  U.S. Leading Indicators Continue Their Rise in January

  • Leading index gains decelerate. • Breadth of component growth moderates. • Coincident indicators rise is negligibly. The Conference Board's Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators increased 0.5% (-1.5% y/y) during January [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 22 2021

  Chicago Fed National Activity Index Increases During January

  • Index suggests improvement in economic growth. • Production & income remain strong while personal spending rebounds. The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago's National Activity Index increased to 0.66 during January from December's [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 19 2021

  U.S. Existing Home Sales Edge Higher in January and Supply Tightens

  • Existing home sales near 2006 high. • Inventory of unsold homes continues to fall sharply. • Sales remain mixed regionally. The market for previously owned homes remains strong. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Feb 18 2021

  Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index Declines in February

  • Headline index reverses part of January's strength. • Movement amongst subindexes is mixed; employment strengthens. • Prices paid continue to rise. The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's Factory Sector Business Conditions Index [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief