Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

USA| Mar 10 2022
U.S. Federal Government Budget Deficit Shrinks in February
Revenues surge with stronger employment.

Outlays continue to fall with fewer income security outlays.

Interest payments multiply.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Mar 10 2022
U.S. Consumer Prices Jump Again in February
Annual gain remains strongest since 1982.

Energy prices surge with Ukraine conflict; food prices accelerate.

Services prices pick up as core goods prices ease.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Mar 09 2022
U.S. Mortgage Application Volume Surges As Rates Fall
Increase is first in five weeks.

Purchase and refinancing applications rise.

Mortgage interest rates ease.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Mar 09 2022
U.S. JOLTS: Job Market Tightness Loosens in January
Job openings fall from record level.

Both hiring level & hiring rate slip.

Separations rise but quits fall.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Mar 08 2022
U.S. Gasoline Prices Surge to Record
Gasoline prices jump over $4.00 per gallon.

Crude oil prices strengthen to the highest level since 2013.

Natural gas prices slip.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Mar 08 2022
U.S. Wholesale Inventories Lag Sales in January
Inventory gain is broad-based.

Sales strength also extends across categories.

I/S ratio drops.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Mar 08 2022
U.S. Trade Deficit Sets Record in January
Decline in exports led by consumer goods.

Imports increase broadly.

Petroleum imports strengthen with higher prices.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Mar 07 2022
U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Moderates Sharply in January
Revolving credit balances decline.

Nonrevolving credit usage weakens.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Mar 07 2022
FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Rise Broadly
Lumber costs lead recent increases.

Crude oil prices continue to strengthen.

Steel scrap & aluminum prices rise notably.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Mar 04 2022
U.S. Payrolls Show Unexpected Strength in February; Earnings Are Unchanged but Jobless Rate Declines
Widespread job strength registered after Omicron.

Hourly earnings hold steady after months of strong gain.

Jobless rate falls to lowest level in two years.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Mar 03 2022
U.S. ISM Services Index Weakens Again in February
Component declines remain widespread.

Price index improves.

Composite factory & services index also declines.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Mar 03 2022
U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Decline
Initial claims have trended lower since mid-January.

Continued claims are little changed w/w.

Insured unemployment rate remains at record low.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief