Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jul 23 2004

  Chicago Fed Nat'l Activity Index Backpedaled in June

  The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) fell last month to 0.00 from 0.75 in May. The three-month moving average of the CFNAI similarly dipped to 0.41, the second lowest reading this year. A zero value of the CFNAI indicates [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 23 2004

  Chicago Fed Nat'l Activity Index Backpedaled in June

  The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) fell last month to 0.00 from 0.75 in May. The three-month moving average of the CFNAI similarly dipped to 0.41, the second lowest reading this year. A zero value of the CFNAI indicates [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 22 2004

  Leading Indicators Fell

  The July Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators reported by the Conference Board fell 0.3%. Only a 0.1% reduction had been expected. June's 0.2% fall was revised to 0.1%. Among the 10 components, six contributed negatively in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 22 2004

  Leading Indicators Fell

  The July Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators reported by the Conference Board fell 0.3%. Only a 0.1% reduction had been expected. June's 0.2% fall was revised to 0.1%. Among the 10 components, six contributed negatively in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 22 2004

  Initial Claims For Unemployment Insurance Down

  Initial claims for jobless insurance fell an expected 11,000 last week to 339,000. The latest figure covers the July survey period for non-farm payrolls and claims were about even with the June period. During the last ten years there [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 22 2004

  Leading Indicators Fell

  The June Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators reported by the Conference Board fell unexpectedly by 0.2%. A 0.4% increase had been expected. It was the first decline since March of last year. Though 55% of the component [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 22 2004

  Leading Indicators Fell

  The June Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators reported by the Conference Board fell unexpectedly by 0.2%. A 0.4% increase had been expected. It was the first decline since March of last year. Though 55% of the component [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 21 2004

  Mortgage Applications Slump

  The index of mortgage applications compiled by the Mortgage Bankers Association fell sharply again last week. Applications fell 4.0% on the heels of the 6.3% drop the prior week. Purchase applications led the decline, down 6.1% (-0.5% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 21 2004

  Consumer's 1Q Debt Service Burden Lower, But ...

  The debt service ratio for the household sector fell again in 1Q04 to 12.98%, the lowest level since late 2001 as estimated the US Federal Reserve Bank. The household debt service ratio estimates the ratio of debt payments to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 21 2004

  Consumer's 1Q Debt Service Burden Lower, But ...

  The debt service ratio for the household sector fell again in 1Q04 to 12.98%, the lowest level since late 2001 as estimated the US Federal Reserve Bank. The household debt service ratio estimates the ratio of debt payments to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 20 2004

  Chain Store Sales Ticked Higher

  Chain store sales ticked 0.2% higher last week following no change the prior period, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS. So far in July sales are up 0.1% versus the June average which fell 0.8% from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 20 2004

  Housing Market Index Dipped

  The Composite Housing Market Index reported by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) fell for the second consecutive month in July to 67. June's figure was revised slightly higher. The index remained 3.1% higher than last [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief