Chain store sales slipped 0.2% last week and gave back all of the paltry 0.1% rise the week prior according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS. For all of August, sales are even with the July average but are [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Aug 31 2004U.S. Chain Store Sales Slip
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Aug 31 2004Gasoline, Crude Oil & Natural Gas Prices Down
The average price for unleaded regular gasoline fell to $1.87 per gallon last week, down 9.6% from the May peak of $2.06. Spot crude oil prices also fell. The price of West Texas Intermediate crude fell to $42.28 yesterday versus the [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Aug 31 2004Consumer Confidence Fell Sharply
The Conference Boards August Index of Consumer Confidence tumbled 7.1% to 98.2 following a downwardly revised 2.8% July gain. Consensus expectations had been for a more moderate decline to 103.0. During the last twenty years there [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Aug 31 2004Chicago Purchasing Agents' Index Down
The Chicago Purchasing Managers Business Barometer for August fell hard to 57.3. The 11.4% m/m decline reversed nearly all of the 14.7% increase in July and left the index well off the May high of 68.0. Consensus expectations had been [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Aug 30 2004U.S. Personal Income Sluggish. Farmers' Income Fell, Wages OK
Personal income grew much less than expected last month. The 0.1% July gain was the weakest in nearly two years, followed a slim 0.2% rise in June and fell short of Consensus expectations for a 0.5% increase. A 0.5% decline (+6.6% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Aug 30 2004U.S. Personal Income Sluggish. Farmers' Income Fell, Wages OK
Personal income grew much less than expected last month. The 0.1% July gain was the weakest in nearly two years, followed a slim 0.2% rise in June and fell short of Consensus expectations for a 0.5% increase. A 0.5% decline (+6.6% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Aug 27 2004U.S. Consumer Sentiment Up Through August
The University of Michigans consumer sentiment index for August rose to 95.9 from the mid-month reading of 94.0. That still was lower than 96.7 in July. Consensus expectations had been for 94.0. During the last ten years there has [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Aug 27 2004Foreign Trade Drag Reduced 2Q US GDP Growth, Domestic Corporate Profits Slower But Firm
US real GDP growth last quarter was revised slightly lower to 2.8% from 3.0%, about in line with Consensus expectations. Higher exports did not raise US output as much as previously estimated. Export growth in 2Q was revised down to [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Aug 27 2004Foreign Trade Drag Reduced 2Q US GDP Growth, Domestic Corporate Profits Slower But Firm
US real GDP growth last quarter was revised slightly lower to 2.8% from 3.0%, about in line with Consensus expectations. Higher exports did not raise US output as much as previously estimated. Export growth in 2Q was revised down to [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Aug 26 2004Help-Wanted Advertising Slipped
The National Index of Help-Wanted Advertising published by the Conference Board slipped last month to 37, giving back virtually all of this year's modest improvement from the 2003 low. During the last ten years there has been a 91% [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Aug 26 2004Hurricane Charley Lifted Initial Jobless Claims
Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose 10,000 last week to 343,000. Roughly half of the increase was due to the impact of Hurricane Charley on claims in Florida, according to the Labor Department. The prior week's level was up [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Aug 26 2004Hurricane Charley Lifted Initial Jobless Claims
Initial claims for unemployment insurance rose 10,000 last week to 343,000. Roughly half of the increase was due to the impact of Hurricane Charley on claims in Florida, according to the Labor Department. The prior week's level was up [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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