German consumer prices fall Yr/Yr! - The headlines may read that German inflation on the HICP measure is down again Yr/Yr but don’t bite on that headline or on the nuance that it might be deflation time in Europe. Nothing is farther [...]
Introducing
Robert Brusca
in:Our Authors
Robert A. Brusca is Chief Economist of Fact and Opinion Economics, a consulting firm he founded in Manhattan. He has been an economist on Wall Street for over 25 years. He has visited central banking and large institutional clients in over 30 countries in his career as an economist. Mr. Brusca was a Divisional Research Chief at the Federal Reserve Bank of NY (Chief of the International Financial markets Division), a Fed Watcher at Irving Trust and Chief Economist at Nikko Securities International. He is widely quoted and appears in various media. Mr. Brusca holds an MA and Ph.D. in economics from Michigan State University and a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan. His research pursues his strong interests in non aligned policy economics as well as international economics. FAO Economics’ research targets investors to assist them in making better investment decisions in stocks, bonds and in a variety of international assets. The company does not manage money and has no conflicts in giving economic advice.
Publications by Robert Brusca
Global| Sep 09 2009German Prices Fall Yr/Yr Again-ButIt's NOT Deflation
- Global| Sep 04 2009
Italy's Trade Trends Turn
Both Italy’s exports and imports are beginning to turn their plunging growth rates higher. The Yr/Yr trend has begun to turn (see chart) for both exports and imports. The balance did swing to surplus a month ago but it still shows a [...]
- Global| Sep 03 2009
Markit MFG PMIs Turn Higher; Gains Are Widespread
The Markit PMIs turned higher in August. Across the main reporting Markit economics we find MFG PMIs are over the break-even mark of 50 in two of seven EU nations. Three others have readings with a ‘49’ handle. Italy back-slid in [...]
- Global| Sep 02 2009
German Retail Sales Still Short Of Dependable
German retail sales edged higher in July but this is after several months of declining. Despite the minor rise in sales ex-autos, retail sales in Q3 (one month into the new quarter) are dropping at an annual rate of 5.7% or 2.7% in [...]
- Global| Aug 28 2009
EU Commission Indices Surprise: Show a Real Turn Is in Progress
The EU Commission indices kicked out the jams this month with increases that left the economic forecasts standing in the dust wondering what happened. The overall commission sentiment index made its largest jump since at least 1988l [...]
- Global| Aug 27 2009
Money Supplies Surge...Or Do They?
The chart exhibits growth rates for money presented in national currency terms for several key countries. The table produces the same data with some different horizons for calculation. In the chart’s lower panel, the various series [...]
- Global| Aug 26 2009
German Ifo Index Is Showing Widespread Recovery
The month-to-month improvement in the all sector IFO diffusion index is the second largest since 1991. All sectors improved in the month. The manufacturing index is improving especially rapidly. The services sector has dug itself out [...]
- Global| Aug 25 2009
Jumpin' German GDP
German GDP’s turnaround reveals its secrets – Germany finalized its GDP and provided details on Q2 GDP performance. GDP rose by 1.3% annualized and compounded Q/Q. Private consumption continued positive in Q2. Public spending on [...]
- Global| Aug 25 2009
Jumpin' German GDP
· German GDP’s turnaround reveals its secrets – Germany finalized its GDP and provided details on Q2 GDP performance. GDP rose by 1.3% annualized and compounded Q/Q. Private consumption continued positive in Q2. Public spending on [...]
- Global| Aug 21 2009
Flash PMI’s Turn in EMU
PMI Signals Are Lagging - PMI’s have lagged the pickup but they are near to neutral and the Markit overview index has reached the neutral mark of 50 in August. Markit’s overall PMI reading for the Euro Area rose to this neutral level [...]
- Global| Aug 20 2009
UK Retail Sales Stir
The 0.4% rise in real UK retail sales is the largest increase in fourteen months. Retail sales ex autos also rose by 0.4% and put in its second month-in-row increase. The momentum in real retail sales is positive, having recovered [...]
- Global| Aug 17 2009
EMU Trade Surplus Is On An A Slight Up-Trend Signs Of Real Recovery Remain Elusive
Exports have the better trend among bad results EMU exports and imports are still on life support in terms of their year-over-year drops. But exports are showing slightly more life in recent months. Apart from splitting hairs, exports [...]
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