Orders overview: Germany's industrial orders rebounded in May with a 2.6% rise after a 1.6% decrease in April and a string of four straight monthly declines. Domestic orders jumped by 4.3%, nearly recovering April's 4.4% decline. [...]
Introducing
Robert Brusca
in:Our Authors
Robert A. Brusca is Chief Economist of Fact and Opinion Economics, a consulting firm he founded in Manhattan. He has been an economist on Wall Street for over 25 years. He has visited central banking and large institutional clients in over 30 countries in his career as an economist. Mr. Brusca was a Divisional Research Chief at the Federal Reserve Bank of NY (Chief of the International Financial markets Division), a Fed Watcher at Irving Trust and Chief Economist at Nikko Securities International. He is widely quoted and appears in various media. Mr. Brusca holds an MA and Ph.D. in economics from Michigan State University and a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan. His research pursues his strong interests in non aligned policy economics as well as international economics. FAO Economics’ research targets investors to assist them in making better investment decisions in stocks, bonds and in a variety of international assets. The company does not manage money and has no conflicts in giving economic advice.
Publications by Robert Brusca
Global| Jul 05 2018German Orders Rebound But Are Still Falling in Q2
- Global| Jul 03 2018
EMU PPI Very Mixed Trends; Data Show Accelerations on Data Inside One Year...Otherwise Decelerations
The graph shows decelerating year-on-year trends for consumer goods and intermediate goods with capital goods inflation low and essentially flat-lining. However, the table, which looks more at trends at 12-month and less, shows PPI [...]
- Global| Jul 02 2018
EMU Unemployment Rate Holds at 8.4%
Unemployment rates have been falling in the EMU. In May, the overall rate has stuck at 8.4%, its lowest mark since December 2008. In the last cycle, the unemployment rate low for the EMU was 7.3%, which it last reached in March 2008. [...]
- Global| Jun 29 2018
EMU: Mixed Signals from the HICP; What Will the ECB Do Now?
For the second time in approximately one year, EMU area and large country inflation rates (HICP definition; year-over-year) are pushing up to, through, or over the key 2% mark (the ECB’s inflation objective is for inflation ‘a little [...]
- Global| Jun 28 2018
EU Indexes Slip Gradually Lower
The European Commission indexes of economic activity for June continued to erode at the pace of oxidation. In three months the headline index has lost only 0.5 points, but it has declined in each month. Only two of the five sector [...]
- Global| Jun 27 2018
EMU Nominal Money and Credit Flows Pickup
EMU money and credit growth both picked up in May but mainly in nominal terms. The graph shows the nominal year-on-year growth rates and in that depiction the advance in money and credit growth in May hardly stands out. When deflated [...]
- Global| Jun 26 2018
Japan’s PPI Jumps
Japan’s PPI jumped by 0.5% in May as both consumer goods prices and intermediate goods prices gained 0.6% on the month. The headline PPI rose by 0.5% after a meager 0.1% increase in April and a 0.2% decline in March. In part, as a [...]
- Global| Jun 25 2018
German IFO Slips in June
All of the early-release IFO climate and aggregate metrics in the top portion of the table declined in June. All-sector climate fell, manufacturing climate fell, and construction climate fell. The current business situation index [...]
- Global| Jun 22 2018
EMU and Japan; EMU Flash PMIs Make Small Recovery
PMIs in June in the EMU area showed some respite from the steady decline in recent months. Services PMIs showed some recovery as manufacturing has continued to slip. The gain in services has been enough to boost the overall PMI gauge. [...]
- Global| Jun 21 2018
French Manufacturing Gives Steady Signal As Services Edge Ahead
The French manufacturing sector gives a steady signal in June but at a level that is off-peak. French services tick higher on the month. In general, the French indexes are moving in concert with those from Germany’s IFO index. Europe [...]
- Global| Jun 20 2018
German PPI Sees Pressure, But Core Rate Is Much Less Affected
Germany has a history of being ‘unreasonable’ about inflation. In the interwar period with the development of hyper-inflation, Germans developed a strong aversion to even a whiff of inflation. So Germany, nationally and down to [...]
- Global| Jun 18 2018
Japan's Loses Its Trade Surplus
In May, Japan has logged its second trade deficit in 13 months and only its third in the last 28 months. Technically, the deficit was generated by a 1% drop in exports combined with a 10.6% surge in imports. The yen has been gradually [...]
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