It's that time of the year when economic forecasters typically publish reams of documentation containing their expectations for the year ahead. And it is fairly safe to assume that all of these forecasters are anticipating a much more [...]
Introducing
Andrew Cates
in:Our Authors
Andy Cates joined Haver Analytics as a Senior Economist in 2020. Andy has more than 25 years of experience forecasting the global economic outlook and in assessing the implications for policy settings and financial markets. He has held various senior positions in London in a number of Investment Banks including as Head of Developed Markets Economics at Nomura and as Chief Eurozone Economist at RBS. These followed a spell of 21 years as Senior International Economist at UBS, 5 of which were spent in Singapore. Prior to his time in financial services Andy was a UK economist at HM Treasury in London holding positions in the domestic forecasting and macroeconomic modelling units. He has a BA in Economics from the University of York and an MSc in Economics and Econometrics from the University of Southampton.
Publications by Andrew Cates
Global| Dec 18 2020Good Riddance 2020!
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
- Global| Nov 24 2020
The Light at the End of the Tunnel
"Light at the end of the tunnel" is a phrase that will likely be deployed very frequently in the coming weeks. That's because of the news concerning several vaccines for COVID-19 which have clearly generated heightened hope that the [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
- Global| Nov 13 2020
A Vaccine Game Changer And What It Might Mean
The announcement this week concerning a potential vaccine for COVID-19 should be a game changer for the world economy. Financial markets have certainly greeted this news by pricing in a rosier global economic scenario (see figure 1 [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
- Global| Nov 02 2020
The Second Wave Slowdown
The global news-flow on COVID-19 has darkened in recent weeks and that will surely sour the economic outlook. A second wave is well and truly underway in many major economies (see figure 1) and policymakers have responded in some [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 15 2020
So What Now?
Lockdown, social distancing, an R rate north of one, contact tracing and herd immunity. Most folks who read these words a few months ago would have little idea about what was being discussed. Fast forward to today and those same words [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
- Global| Oct 15 2020
So What Now?
Lockdown, social distancing, an R rate north of one, contact tracing and herd immunity. Most folks who read these words a few months ago would have little idea about what was being discussed. Fast forward to today and those same words [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 15 2020
So What Now?
Lockdown, social distancing, an R rate north of one, contact tracing and herd immunity. Most folks who read these words a few months ago would have little idea about what was being discussed. Fast forward to today and those same words [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Oct 05 2020
Emerging Markets and COVID-19
It's always tough to generalise about emerging market (EM) economies. Even knowing if they are emerging economies can be tricky as they are classified in different ways by different organisations. China's role and relative dominance [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
- Global| Oct 05 2020
Emerging Markets and COVID-19
It's always tough to generalise about emerging market (EM) economies. Even knowing if they are emerging economies can be tricky as they are classified in different ways by different organisations. China's role and relative dominance [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Economy in Brief
- Global| Sep 25 2020
Two Steps Forward, One Step Back
The last few days have seen mounting evidence that firmly quashes the idea that we might have been close to achieving any semblance of normality in the period immediately ahead. The latest data that concern COVID-19 in particular make [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
- Global| Sep 11 2020
Hard Times and Great Expectations
Officiandos of the works of Charles Dickens will recognize the book titles that head up this commentary. 'Hard Times' certainly seems apt when assessing the global economic damage that's been generated by the current crisis and the [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
- Global| Aug 27 2020
Asia's De-globalisation Nightmare and Covid-19
Having been at the forefront of globalisation in the last few decades emerging economies in Asia are now under severe strain. That globalisation trend after all was already stalling before the Coronavirus made its mark on China. And [...]
by:Andrew Cates
|in:Viewpoints
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