Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Feb 20 2013

U.S. Single-family Housing Starts Improve; Total Led Lower By Multi-family

Summary

Despite record cold temperatures, starts of single-family homes inched up 0.8% last month to 613,000 (20.0% y/y), the highest level since July 2008. Total housing starts of 890,000 in January, however, were off 8.5% (+23.6% y/y) due [...]


Despite record cold temperatures, starts of single-family homes inched up 0.8% last month to 613,000 (20.0% y/y), the highest level since July 2008. Total housing starts of 890,000 in January, however, were off 8.5% (+23.6% y/y) due to a 24.1% decline (+32.5% y/y) in starts of multi-family homes. Consensus expectations were for a rise in total starts to 920,000. December's level was revised to 973,000 from 954,000 reported last month.

By region, starts in the Midwest fell by one-half m/m (-10.4% y/y) to 95,000 led lower by a collapse in multi-family starts to 2,000 (-91.7% y/y) from 87,000 in December. Single-family starts in the Midwest fell a lesser 9.7% (+13.4% y/y). Also crippled by heavy snows were starts in the Northeast where multi-family starts fell 59.0% (-16.7% y/y). Starts of single-family homes fell a lesser 9.1% (+13.6% y/y). In the South, total starts rose 4.1% (19.9% y/y) to 483,000 and in the West, starts rose 16.7% (73.0% y/y).

Building permits in January rose 1.8% (35.2% y/y) to 925,000. Permits for single-family homes advanced 1.9% last month (29.2% y/y). Multi-family permits increased 1.5% m/m but were up nearly one-half y/y.

The housing starts figures can be found in Haver's USECON database. The expectations figure is contained in the AS1REPNA database. 

Why Did Young Families Lose So Much Wealth During the Crisis? The Role of Homeownership from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis can be found here here.

Housing Starts (000s, SAAR) Jan Dec Nov Y/Y% 2012 2011 2010
Total 890 973 841 23.6 781 612 586
 Single-Family 613 608 570 20.0 534 434 471
 Multi-Family 277 365 271 32.5 247 178 114
Starts By Region
 Northeast 75 116 68 1.4 78 68 72
 Midwest 95 190 154 -10.4 129 103 97
 South 493 464 451 19.9 400 309 296
 West 237 203 168 73.0 173 132 120
Building Permits 925 909 900 35.2 800 624 604
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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