Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Jun 04 2019

U.S. Gasoline Prices Ease; Crude Oil Costs Fall Sharply

Summary

Retail gasoline prices slipped one penny last week to $2.81 per gallon (-4.5% y/y), the fourth consecutive weekly decline. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal variation in gasoline pump prices. The [...]


Retail gasoline prices slipped one penny last week to $2.81 per gallon (-4.5% y/y), the fourth consecutive weekly decline. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal variation in gasoline pump prices. The seasonally-adjusted price fell three cents to $2.63 per gallon.

West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices weakened to an average $56.95 per barrel last week (-15.0% y/y). It was the lowest price since early-March and compared to the early-October high of $75.11. Yesterday, prices fell further to $53.25 per barrel. Brent crude oil prices fell to an average of $67.29 per barrel last week (-12.2% y/y). Prices reached a high of $84.96 in early-October. Yesterday, the price fell to $60.77 per barrel.

Natural gas prices were fairly steady at $2.65/mmbtu last week (-7.3% y/y). Prices remained below the early-March high of $3.28/mmbtu and declined to $2.50 yesterday.

In the four-weeks ending May 24, gasoline demand fell 2.2% y/y, while total petroleum product demand declined 2.0% y/y. Gasoline inventories declined 1.5% y/y, while inventories of all petroleum products rose 4.2% y/y. Crude oil input to refineries slipped 0.3% y/y in the last four weeks.

These data are reported by the U.S. Department of Energy. The price data can be found in Haver's WEEKLY and DAILY databases. Greater detail on prices, as well as the demand, production and inventory data, along with regional breakdowns, are in OILWKLY.

Why Is the Fed's Balance Sheet Still So Big? from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco can be found here.

Weekly Energy Prices 6/2/2019 5/27/2019 5/20/2019 Y/Y % 2018 2017 2016
Retail Gasoline ($ per Gallon Regular, Monday Price, End of Period) 2.81 2.82 2.85 -4.5 2.27 2.47 2.31
Light Sweet Crude Oil, WTI ($ per bbl, Previous Week's Average) 56.95 60.77 62.09 -15.0 64.95 50.87 43.22
Natural Gas ($/mmbtu, LA, Previous Week's Average) 2.65 2.66 2.67 -7.3 3.15 2.96 2.49
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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