
U.S. Existing Home Sales Decline in November; Availability Shrinks to Record Low
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
• Existing home sales reverse some of October's increase. • Inventory of unsold homes falls sharply. • Sales weaken broadly across regions. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that sales of existing homes fell 2.5% [...]
• Existing home sales reverse some of October's increase.
• Inventory of unsold homes falls sharply.
• Sales weaken broadly across regions.
The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that sales of existing homes fell 2.5% (+25.8% y/y) during November to 6.690 million (AR) from 6.860 in October, revised from 6.850 million. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected October sales of 6.70 million. Data are compiled when existing home sales close.
The number of homes on the market declined 22.0% y/y. The months' supply of homes on the market fell to 2.3, a record low, down from 4.8 months in May.
Sales declined in most of the country. In the Northeast, sales eased 2.2% (+25.7% y/y) to 880,000 units after double-digit increases in each of the prior four months. Sales in the Midwest fell 2.5% (+24.2% y/y) to 1.590 million after rising to a record 1.630 million in October. In the South, sales fell 3.8% (+25.9% y/y) to 2.820 million from the record 2.930 million in October. In the West, sales held steady at 1.400 million (27.3% y/y) after a 1.4% October rise.
The median price of an existing home eased 0.7% (+14.6% y/y) to $310,800. The mean sales price slipped 0.5% last month (+11.3% y/y) to $343,000. The median home price in the Northeast weakened 0.7% (+17.4% y/y) to $354,100. In the Midwest, prices slipped 0.8% (+14.6% y/y) to $239,100. The median home price in the South slipped 0.6% (+15.0% y/y) to $270,000 while prices in the West were off 0.7% (+13.8% y/y) to $467,600. The price data are not seasonally adjusted.
Sales of existing single-family homes declined 2.4% (+25.6% y/y) to 5.98 million units after increasing for five consecutive months. Sales of condos and co-ops fell 2.7% (+26.9% y/y) to 710,000 units. It also followed five straight months of strong gains and left sales at the highest level since February 2007.
The data on existing home sales, prices and affordability are compiled by the National Association of Realtors. The data trace back to February 1968. Total sales and price data and regional sales can be found in Haver's USECON database. Regional price and affordability data and national inventory data are available in the REALTOR database. The expectations figure is from the Action Economics Forecast Survey, reported in the AS1REPNA database.
Existing Home Sales (SAAR, 000s) | Nov | Oct | Sep | Nov Y/Y % | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Sales | 6,690 | 6,860 | 6,570 | 25.8 | 5,330 | 5,334 | 5,527 |
Northeast | 880 | 900 | 860 | 25.7 | 687 | 687 | 736 |
Midwest | 1,590 | 1,630 | 1,510 | 24.2 | 1,248 | 1,264 | 1,302 |
South | 2,820 | 2,930 | 2,820 | 25.9 | 2,281 | 2,245 | 2,268 |
West | 1,400 | 1,400 | 1,380 | 27.3 | 1,115 | 1,138 | 1,222 |
Single-Family Sales | 5,980 | 6,130 | 5,880 | 25.6 | 4,754 | 4,737 | 4,904 |
Median Price Total ($, NSA) | 310,800 | 313,100 | 311,400 | 14.6 | 269,783 | 257,267 | 245,950 |
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.