Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Jun 20 2013

State Unemployment Rates Continue Lower but Vary Greatly

Summary

Improvement in the overall labor market is evident in May's 7.6% unemployment rate. That compares to 7.8% at the end of last year and 8.1% during all of 2012. Notable has been the rate's recent decline in states where it previously [...]

U

Improvement in the overall labor market is evident in May's 7.6% unemployment rate. That compares to 7.8% at the end of last year and 8.1% during all of 2012. Notable has been the rate's recent decline in states where it previously was sticky. Great improvement has been in California where May's 8.6% rate of unemployment is two percentage below last year's average. Washington also saw great improvement. May's 6.8% unemployment rate compared to 8.2% during all of last year. In New York, May's rate of 7.6% was roughly one full percentage point below last year's average.

The rate of labor market improvement has lagged in many large states. In Texas, for example, while the 6.5% jobless rate is low relative to the rest of the country, it's down just slightly from last year's 6.8% average. In Illinois, 9.1% joblessness differs little from the 8.9% averaged last year. In Tennessee, the current 8.3% unemployment rate is actually above last year's 8.0% average. In smaller states, the rate of job market improvement also varies. Nevada's 9.5% unemployment rate is well below last year's 11.1% average but in neighboring Arizona, 7.8% unemployment is down just modestly from last year's 8.3%.

The household employment survey also produces data on individual metropolitan areas. These figures, in a few circumstances, differ widely from the state numbers. Florida's 7.1% unemployment rate, for example, is a far cry from the 9.3% in the Miami metro area. Michigan's 8.4% rate also is under the 9.5% rate around Detroit. New York state's 7.6% rate lags the 8.3% in New York City while California's 8.6% rate is under 9.6% around Los Angeles. Running close to one another are the Illinois unemployment rate of 9.1% and the 9.3% rate around Chicago. Also, Ohio's 7.0% unemployment rate is near Cleveland's of 6.9%. Working the other way, Washington state's 6.8% jobless rate by far exceeds Seattle's 4.7%.

State unemployment figures are available in Haver's EMPLR database.

State Unemployment Rate May April 2012 2011 2010 Labor Force
Total U.S. 7.6% 7.5% 8.1% 8.9% 9.6% 155.7 mil.
Ten States With Highest Jobless Rate
  Nevada 9.5 9.6 11.1 13.2 13.8 1.4
  Illinois 9.1 9.3 8.9 9.7 10.4 9.6
  Mississippi 9.1 9.1 9.1 10.5 10.5 1.3
  North Carolina 8.8 8.9 9.5 10.3 10.8 4.7
  California 8.6 9.0 10.5 11.8 12.3 18.6
  New Jersey 8.6 8.7 9.5 9.3 9.6 4.6
  Georgia 8.3 8.2 9.0 9.9 10.2 4.8
  Indiana 8.3 8.5 8.4 9.0 10.1 3.2
  Tennessee 8.3 8.0 8.0 9.3 9.8 3.1
  South Carolina 8.0 8.0 9.1 10.4 11.2 2.2

States With Lowest Jobless Rate May April 2012 2011 2010 Labor Force
  New Hampshire 5.3% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 6.1% 0.7 mil.
  Minnesota 5.3 5.3 5.6 6.5 7.3 3.0
  Virginia 5.3 5.2 5.9 6.5 7.1 4.2
  Wyoming 4.6 4.8 5.4 6.1 7.0 0.3
  Utah 4.6 4.7 5.7 6.9 8.1 1.4
  Iowa 4.6 4.7 5.2 5.9 6.3 1.6
  Vermont 4.1 4.0 5.0 5.6 6.4 0.4
  South Dakota 4.0 4.1 4.4 4.8 5.1 0.4
  Nebraska 3.8 3.7 3.9 4.5 4.7 1.0
  North Dakota 3.2 3.3 3.1 3.5 3.8 0.4

Jobless Rate In Other Selected Large States May April 2012 2011 2010 Labor Force
  Connecticut 8.0% 8.0% 8.3% 8.9% 9.3% 1.8 mil.
  Arizona 7.8 7.9 8.3 9.4 10.4 3.0
  New York 7.6 7.8 8.5 8.3 8.6 9.6
  Florida 7.1 7.2 8.6 10.3 11.3 9.4
  Wisconsin 7.0 7.1 6.9 7.6 8.4 3.1
  Ohio 7.0 7.0 7.2 8.6 10.0 5.7
  Colorado 6.9 6.9 8.0 8.6 9.0 2.8
  Washington 6.8 7.0 8.2 9.2 9.9 3.5
  Maryland 6.7 6.5 6.8 7.3 7.8 3.1
  Texas 6.5 6.4 6.8 8.0 8.2 12.8

  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

    More in Author Profile »

More Economy in Brief