State data show continued brisk job growth in May. The sum of the seasonally adjusted gains in payroll employment across the states came to 269,300—quite comparable to the national increase of 223,000. However, most states did not [...]
Global| Jun 15 2018State Labor Markets Mirror National Strength in May
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Global| Jun 14 2018Employer Costs for Q1 2018
On June 8 BLS released the data on March Employer Costs for Employee Compensation (ECEC). This dataset offers a different perspective on labor costs than the ECI. Like the ECI, the numbers come from both private and state and local [...]
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Global| Jun 12 2018Asset Cycles: “When The Music Stops Playing”
The famous American economist Mr. Herbert Stein stated, “If something can’t go on forever, it will stop.” Yet, when it comes to asset price cycles it has been hard to pinpoint when the music stops playing as it has been very difficult [...]
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Global| Jun 04 2018The Predictive Power of Yield Curve Is Due to Its Link to The Economy’s Yield Curve
The minutes of the May 1 and 2 Federal Open Market Committee meeting noted “several participants thought that it would be important to continue to monitor the slope of the yield curve, emphasizing the historical regularity that an [...]
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Global| May 23 2018State Coincident Indexes
The Philadelphia Federal Reserve has released updated estimates of coincident indexes by state. The coincident indexes are computed from a dynamic factor model relating a number of other monthly variables (primarily from the labor [...]
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Global| May 22 2018To Win At Trade the US Must Act and Behave Like China
Recently both the US and China announced policy changes or campaigns with 2025 as a target date. Although the date was similar, the substance of each was not, illustrating why the US continually runs trade deficits and China trade [...]
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Global| May 18 2018State Payroll Employment Growth Remained Modest in April
The April job numbers across the states were consistent with the national figures, and show some continuing moderation in the pace of job growth. BLS reports that only three states had statistically significant growth in jobs (Texas, [...]
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Global| May 17 2018Real Incomes by State and Metro Areas
BEA has released its estimates of 2016 real personal incomes for states and metro areas. These estimates are derived by computing personal consumption price deflators for those locations (data on regional CPIs are used in this [...]
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