The Trump Administration is cheering the initial GDP results for 2018, claiming that the fastest economic growth in more than a decade proves that the bold and risky fiscal policy experiment of legislating substantial cuts in business [...]
Global| Mar 01 2019
Fiscal Policy Experiment: Success or Failure
|in:Viewpoints
Global| Feb 26 2019
The New Inflation Debate
Policymakers are involved in another debate about inflation, but this time its because some think reported inflation is too low, not too high. The new view is not based on any formal review or research. Rather, some policymakers think [...]
|in:Viewpoints
Global| Feb 21 2019
The Fed's Mistake
At the January 29-30 Federal Open Market Committee meeting policymakers decided to adopt a “patient posture” arguing that they saw “few risks” in maintaining the current target range for the federal funds. Easy money conditions have [...]
|in:Viewpoints
Global| Feb 06 2019
A New Working Theory of Inflation
It has long been observed that inflation is a monetary phenomenon. The foundation for this observation was developed decades ago when accelerating and decelerating rates of consumer price inflation were associated with similar [...]
|in:Viewpoints
Global| Jan 31 2019
Fed's Pause & Risks of A Hard Landing
At the press conference following the January 29-30 Federal Open Market Committee meeting Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that members "believe that our current policy is appropriate at this time". Only 6 weeks before at the press [...]
|in:Viewpoints
Global| Jan 25 2019
State Coincident Indexes
The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's December estimates of state coincident activity continue to show a fairly moderate range of growth among the states, with 34 (2 more than the initial results for November) seeing gains between [...]
|in:Viewpoints
Global| Jan 25 2019
State Coincident Indexes
The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank’s December estimates of state coincident activity continue to show a fairly moderate range of growth among the states, with 34 (2 more than the initial results for November) seeing gains between [...]
|in:Viewpoints
Global| Jan 18 2019
"Opportunistic" Strategy for the Fed
Federal Reserve officials are between a rock and a hard place. Even though economic growth has topped policymaker’s expectations turbulence in the financial markets due to fear of tighter monetary conditions and the risk of a trade [...]
|in:Viewpoints
- of11Go to 10 page