Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Dec 14 2011

  U.S. Import Prices Rise As Oil Rebounds

  U.S. import prices rose 0.7% last month and made up a revised 0.5% October decline, initially reported as -0.6%. Consensus expectations had been for a 0.8% rise last month. Year-to-year, higher oil prices and the lower value of the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 14 2011

  U.S. Business Inventory Growth Picks Up

  The U.S. Commerce Department reported yesterday that business inventories rose 0.8% during October following no change in September. A 0.5% increase had been expected. Business sales increased a stable 0.7%. As a result, the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 13 2011

  U.S. JOLTS Rate Slips From Latest High

  The improving job market trend remains in place but it stuttered m/m in October. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported in its Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that the October job openings rate slipped m/m to 2.4% from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 13 2011

  U.S. Gasoline Price Slips Again As Crude Oil Breaks $100

  The pump price for regular gasoline fell another two cents last week to $3.27 per gallon. Prices remained the lowest since February when they averaged $3.21. Retail prices usually start to ease this time of year with reduced seasonal [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 13 2011

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Reaches Nine-Month High

  Small businesses are feeling better about the economy. The National Federation of Independent Business indicated that its November index of small business optimism rose to 92.0 from an unrevised 90.2 in October. The job openings [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 13 2011

  U.S. Retail Spending Increase Is Disappointing

  November retail & food service sales increased 0.2% following a little-revised 0.6% October gain. The latest, modest increase disappointed Consensus expectations for a 0.6% rise, according to the Action Economics survey. Nevertheless, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 12 2011

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Remain Depressed

  Industrial commodity prices recently have hovered near the recent lows. At 161.2, the latest price index from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER) was down 4.8% y/y and the six-month growth rate, as [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 09 2011

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Increases Further

  The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment for mid-December rose to 67.7 from 64.1 in November. The latest number was better than Consensus expectations for 65.5 and it was the fourth consecutive monthly rise. Consumers' [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 09 2011

  U.S. Trade Deficit Shrinks Again

  The U.S. foreign trade shortfall lessened for the fourth consecutive month during October.

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 08 2011

  U.S. Wholesale Inventories & Sales Jump

  Inventories at the wholesale level jumped 1.6% (10.9% y/y) during October following no change in September. The increase was led by a 5.7% surge (13.5% y/y) in petroleum which reversed the prior month's decline. Less petroleum, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 08 2011

  U.S. Initial Claims For Jobless Insurance Nears Its Lowest In Years

  Signs of labor market improvement are building. Initial claims for jobless insurance rose fell sharply last week to 381,000 from 404,000 (revised from 402,000) during the week prior. The latest reading was the lowest since February [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 07 2011

  U.S. Consumer Credit Outstanding Increases Again

  Consumers are using credit to enhance their buying power. The Federal Reserve reported that overall consumer credit expanded $7.7B in October following a revised $6.8B increase during September, initially reported as $7.4B. A $7.0B [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief