Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Aug 14 2012

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Rise Further Along With Crude Oil

  The pump price of regular gasoline added another eight cents last week to its fourteen cent gain during the prior period. At $3.72 per gallon prices recently have risen 36 cents (10.9%) to the highest since the middle of May. Haver [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 14 2012

  U.S. PPI Gain Driven By Core Price Increase

  The producer price index for finished goods rose 0.3% last month after a 0.1% June uptick. The gain beat expectations for a 0.2% rise. Excluding food & energy, prices gained 0.4% (2.6% y/y), the strongest rise since January. A 0.2% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 14 2012

  U.S. Retail Sales Gain After Falling For Three Months

  Finally the consumer grew tired of not spending and July retail sales rose 0.8%. The gain followed a deepened 0.7% June drop and a downwardly revised 0.1% May dip. A 0.3% increase in July sales was expected according to Action [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 13 2012

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Are Mixed

  Weakening industrial economies have been accompanied by mixed pricing patterns in commodities. At 162.5, the latest price index from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER) is 5.2% lower than its April [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 10 2012

  U.S. Budget Deficit Narrows During FY'12

  During July, the Federal Government ran a budget deficit of $69.6B, according to figures released by the U.S. Treasury. So far this fiscal year the deficit totaled $973.84B, down from $1,100.0B during the first ten months of FY'11. As [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 10 2012

  U.S. Import Prices Continue Lower

  U.S. import prices fell 0.6% during July following a 2.4% June decline, revised from -2.7%. A 0.2% uptick had been expected. Prices continued lower in most categories. Petroleum prices declined 1.6% (-12.3% y/y), off for the fourth [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 09 2012

  U.S. Trade Deficit Improves With Lower Oil Prices

  Lower oil prices continue at the forefront of trade sector improvement.The U.S. June foreign trade deficit narrowed to $42.9B from $48.0B in May, initially reported as $48.7B. Expectations were for a deficit of $47.8B. Exports rose [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 09 2012

  U.S. Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Fall Unexpectedly; Grand Total At Recovery Low

  Initial unemployment insurance claims fell to 361,000 during the week ended August 4 from 367,000 during the prior week, revised from 365,000. An uptick in claims to 370,000 had been expected. The four-week moving average of claims [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 08 2012

  U.S. Mortgage Market Activity Eases W/W

  The Mortgage Bankers Association index of total mortgage applications fell 1.8% last week (35.0% y/y). Nevertheless, this month remained up sharply from July. The figures remain close to the high in this cycle. Applications to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 08 2012

  U.S. Unit Labor Costs Rise Again

  No wonder growth in corporate profitability has slowed. The cost of labor has been on the rise as growth in labor compensation outpaces productivity. Unit labor costs grew 1.7% last quarter following a 5.6% Q1 rise. These gains follow [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 07 2012

  U.S. Consumer Credit Growth Eases

  Consumer credit usage cooled down in June after a blistering start this spring. The Federal Reserve reported that credit grew $6.5B (AR) after a $16.7B rise in May, revised from $17.1B. A $10.5B increase had been expected by Action [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Aug 07 2012

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Rate Holds High But Hires Slip

  The Bureau of Labor Statistics indicated in its Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) that the rate of 2.7% held at its May level and was improved versus the recession low of 1.6%. The job openings rate is the number of job [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief