Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jun 04 2013

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Recover W/W but Are Lower During the Last Month

  The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs reported that chain store sales jumped 1.9% last week (4.3% y/y). That was enough to lift this month's starting point 0.6% above the May average. For all of May sales [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 04 2013

  U.S. Trade Deficit Deepens as Imports Recover

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit deepened during April to $40.3B from $37.1B in March, revised from $38.8B. A $41.0B deficit had been expected. Data were revised back to January 1999. A 2.4% rebound (-1.4% y/y) in imports caused the m/m [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 03 2013

  U.S. Vehicle Sales Rebound

  Unit sales of light motor vehicles recovered during May by 2.6% m/m (9.7% y/y) to 15.31M (SAAR), according to the Autodata Corporation. These sales compare to the recovery peak of 15.54M in November. Sales outperformed expectations [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 03 2013

  U.S. Construction Spending Inches Higher

  Building activity improved marginally during April. The value of construction put-in-place gained 0.4% (4.3% y/y) after a revised 0.8% March decline and a 0.8% February increase, revised from -1.7% and 1.5%, respectively. A 0.9% gain [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 03 2013

  U.S. ISM Composite Factory Sector Index Falls to Recovery Low

  Forward momentum in the factory sector has disappeared. The Composite Index of manufacturing activity from the Institute for Supply Management fell to 49.0 during May from an unrevised 50.7 in April. Below the break-even point of 50, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 31 2013

  U.S. Consumer Sentiment Continues To Improve

  Consumers are feeling better about today's economy and its prospects. The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment for May improved to 84.5 (6.6% y/y), the highest level since July 2007. It compared to the consensus [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 31 2013

  U.S. Personal Income, Spending and Prices Fall; Savings Remain Lean

  Personal income moved marginally lower during April (2.8% y/y) following a 0.3% March advance, initially reported as 0.2%. The income figure fell short of consensus expectations for a 0.2% increase. No change in wages and salaries [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 30 2013

  U.S. Pending Home Sales Reach a New High

  According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), pending sales of single-family homes during April ticked up 0.3% (10.3% y/y) after a 1.5% gain during March. The latest level was the highest since April 2010. The sales rebound [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 30 2013

  U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Unexpectedly Notch Higher

  Initial unemployment insurance claims increased to 354,000 (-7.3% y/y) during the week ended May 25 from a revised 344,000, initially reported as 340,000. Consensus expectations were for 340,000 claims. The four week moving average of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 30 2013

  U.S. GDP Growth Remains Moderate but Profits Decline

  Real GDP growth for last quarter was marginally revised to 2.4% (1.8% y/y) from the advance estimate of a 2.5% rise. Nevertheless, growth still improved from 0.4% at the end of the year. Expectations were for a 2.5% gain. Fewer [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 29 2013

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Remain Down Versus Last Month

  Forward momentum in consumer spending was lost in May. The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs reported that chain store sales slumped 0.9% last week (2.8% y/y). That was enough to pull sales so far this month [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 29 2013

  U.S. Petroleum Prices Meander Sideways

  Following earlier improvement, gasoline prices lost upward momentum last week. The price of regular gasoline slipped two cents to $3.65 per gallon and remained down just slightly versus last year. Prices remain below the $3.78 per [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief