Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jul 02 2013

  U.S. Vehicle Sales Strengthen Further

  Auto dealer showrooms were bustling last month.Unit sales of light motor vehicles recovered 4.2% during June versus May to 15.96 million (SAAR), up 11.0% y/y, according to the Autodata Corporation. Setting a recovery high, sales were [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 02 2013

  U.S. Construction Spending Moves Up Slightly

  The value of construction put-in-place improved 0.5% (5.4% y/y) during May after a revised 0.1% April up tick. A 0.6% rise in activity had been expected. The value of public sector building gained 1.8% (-4.7% y/y) but activity was [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 02 2013

  U.S. New and Unfilled Factory Orders Rise Sharply

  Orders to all manufacturers increased an expected 2.1% (3.6% y/y) during May, following a 1.3% April advance. The rise was led by a 3.7% jump (7.7% y/y) in durable goods bookings, little-revised from the advance report. It reflected a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 02 2013

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Improve Moderately

  Consumer spending during June reached its nadir. The International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs reported that chain store sales improved 0.3% last week (1.9% y/y), the third consecutive weekly gain. The June average [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 02 2013

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Ease

  The price of regular gasoline fell last week to $3.50 per gallon. The decline was the third consecutive weekly drop and was to the lowest level since early January. Prices were well below the $3.78 per gallon peak reached late in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 01 2013

  U.S. ISM Composite Factory Sector Index Recovers

  The Composite Index of manufacturing sector activity from the Institute for Supply Management improved to 50.9 during June versus an unrevised 49.0 in May. The figure roughly matched consensus expectations for 50.5. Any figure above [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 26 2013

  U.S. GDP Growth is Revised Lower with Lessened Growth in Domestic Purchases

  Real GDP growth for Q1'13 was revised lower to 1.8% (1.6% y/y) from last month's estimated 2.4% rise. Expectations were for a 2.4% gain. Growth in consumer spending and business investment were significantly reduced, but residential [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 26 2013

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Continue Lower As Interest Rates Surge

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that total applications for a home mortgage fell 3.0% w/w, extending the declines of the prior six weeks. The latest level was down by one-third since early-May. Last week's decline reflected [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 26 2013

  U.S. GDP Growth is Revised Lower with Lessened Growth in Domestic Purchases

  Real GDP growth for Q1'13 was revised lower to 1.8% (1.6% y/y) from last month's estimated 2.4% rise. Expectations were for a 2.4% gain. Growth in consumer spending and business investment were significantly reduced, but residential [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 25 2013

  U.S. Case-Shiller Home Price Index Continues To Strengthen

  Home price strength is building throughout the country. The seasonally adjusted Case-Shiller 20 City Home Price Index rose 1.7% (12.0% y/y) during April following its upwardly revised 1.9% March jump, earlier reported as 1.1%. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 25 2013

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Trends Higher

  Consumer confidence remains on an uptrend. The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index rose to 81.4 this month following a downwardly revised May reading of 74.3. Consensus expectations had been for 75.2. During the last ten [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 25 2013

  U.S. New Home Sales Rise To Recovery High

  The housing market continues to improve. New home sales increased 2.1% (29.0% y/y) last month to 476,000 (AR) from a revised 466,000 during April, initially reported as 454,000. The latest level was the highest since July 2008 and [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief