Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Dec 01 2014

  U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index Suggests Firm Activity; Prices Plunge

  Despite a slip in the November ISM Composite Index of Factory Sector Activity to 58.7, improvement in factory sector activity continues. The latest reading left the three-month average at 58.1, close to its highest level since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 26 2014

  U.S. Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Jump; Unemployment Rate Falls to New Low

  Initial claims for jobless insurance during the week ended November 22 jumped to 313,000 from 292,000 during the prior period, revised from 291,000. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected 285,000 claims in the latest week. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 26 2014

  U.S. Pending Home Sales Decline

  Pending sales of single-family homes fell 1.1% last month (+2.2% y/y) following a little-revised 0.6% gain during September, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Home sales in the Northeast, sales improved 0.5% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 26 2014

  U.S. New Home Sales Improve; Prices Jump

  New home sales during October edged up 0.7% m/m to 458,000 (1.8% y/y) following a 0.4% rise to 455,000 in September, initially reported as 467,000. The latest figure disappointed expectations for 470,000 sales in the Action Economics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 26 2014

  U.S. Personal Income and Spending Growth Remain Moderate

  Overall personal income increased 0.2% during October (4.1% y/y) after an unrevised 0.2% September rise. The increase disappointed expectations for a 0.4% improvement in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Wages & salaries earnings [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 25 2014

  U.S. Gasoline & Crude Oil Costs Decline; Natural Gas Prices Increase

  The price for a gallon of regular gasoline fell to $2.82 last week (-14.3% y/y), down from $2.89 during the prior week and off versus $3.69 averaged in June. To account for seasonal patterns, Haver Analytics constructs factors for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 25 2014

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Pulls Back to Five-Month Low

  The Conference Board reading of consumer confidence retreated to 88.7 this month (+23.2% y/y) from 94.1 in October, revised from 94.5. The latest figure disappointed expectations for 96.0 in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 25 2014

  U.S. FHFA Home Price Index Remains Unchanged

  The U.S. House Price Index from the Federal Housing and Finance Agency (FHFA) remained unchanged during September following a 0.4% August gain, revised from 0.5%. The latest increase left the y/y rise at 4.3%, its weakest gain since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 25 2014

  U.S. GDP Growth in Q3 Is Revised Higher; Profits Growth Slows

  GDP grew 3.9% last quarter (2.4% y/y), revised up from the advance estimate of 3.5% growth. The gain exceeded expectations for a 3.3% advance in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. So far this year economic growth averaged 2.1%, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 24 2014

  Texas Factory Sector Activity Outlook Suggests Continued Growth

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas indicated that business conditions remained positive this month. There were numerous indications, however, of slower growth. The overall business activity index improved m/m as well as y/y. Behind [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 24 2014

  Chicago Fed National Activity Index Moderates

  The Chicago Federal Reserve reported that its National Activity Index (CFNAI) for October fell to 0.14 from 0.29 in September, revised from 0.47. The three-month moving average fell to -0.01 from 0.12. It was the lowest figure since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 21 2014

  Kansas City Fed Factory Sector Activity Improves

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City reported that its Composite index of 10th District factory sector activity recovered to 7 this month after falling sharply to 4 in October. Nevertheless, the figure remained near the middle of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief