Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| May 06 2015

  U.S. ADP: Job Growth Is Disappointing

  The ADP/Moody's National Employment Report indicated that nonfarm private sector payrolls increased 169,000 during April following a 175,000 March gain, revised from 189,000. The latest rise was the weakest since January of last year [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 06 2015

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Move Lower As Interest Rates Tick Higher

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Market Volume Index declined 4.6% last week (+21.8% y/y), the third decline in four weeks. Refinance applications fell 8.3% (+30.8% y/y) to the lowest level in four [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 06 2015

  U.S. Worker Productivity Declines Again

  Nonfarm productivity fell at a 1.9% annual rate last quarter (+0.6% y/y), about the same as during a little-revised Q4. Harsh winter weather and the strike at West coast ports constrained real output. It slipped at a 0.2% rate (+3.5% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 06 2015

  U.S. ADP: Job Growth Is Disappointing

  The ADP/Moody's National Employment Report indicated that nonfarm private sector payrolls increased 169,000 during April following a 175,000 March gain, revised from 189,000. The latest rise was the weakest since January of last year [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 05 2015

  U.S. ADP: Job Growth Continues to Moderate

  The ADP/Moody's National Employment Report reported that nonfarm private sector payrolls increased 189,000 during March following a 214,000 improvement in February, revised from 212,000. The latest gain was the weakest since January [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 05 2015

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Continue Moving Higher

  Gasoline prices increased 9 cents last week to an average $2.66 per gallon at the pump, the highest level since early-December and up nearly one-third versus the late-January low of $2.04. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 05 2015

  U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Recovers as Activity and New Orders Firm

  The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Composite Index of Nonmanufacturing Sector Business improved to 57.8 during April from an unrevised 56.5 in March. The latest figure was the highest since November and exceeded expectations [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 05 2015

  U.S. Trade Deficit Deepens as West Coast Ports Reopen

  The U.S. foreign trade deficit in goods and services increased during March to $51.4 billion from $35.9 billion in February, revised from $35.4 billion. A deficit of $41.0 billion had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 04 2015

  U.S. Factory Sector Orders Surge With Aircraft

  New orders in the manufacturing sector jumped an expected 2.1% (-4.0% y/y) during March following a 0.1% downtick in February, revised from 0.2%. The gain was driven by jumps in civilian & military aircraft orders. Durable goods [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 01 2015

  U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Ease

  Sales of light vehicles declined 4.0% (+2.5% y/y) during April to 16.45 million units (AR) versus 17.15 million in March. The latest level remained in the range staked out since the middle of last year. Auto sales decreased 4.4% last [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 01 2015

  U.S. Construction Spending Growth Slackens

  Momentum in the building sector has weakened significantly. The value of construction put-in-place slipped 0.6% during March following no change in February, revised from -0.1%. Year-to-year growth of 2.0% follows gains of roughly [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| May 01 2015

  U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index Remains Weak

  Factory sector activity garnered no momentum last month following sharp deterioration during the winter. The April Composite Index from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) held steady at 51.5 with the March reading unrevised. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief