Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jul 11 2017

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Weakens

  The National Federation of Independent Business reported that its Small Business Optimism Index declined to 103.6 during June, the lowest level since November. Nevertheless, the index remained up 9.6% y/y. A lessened 33% of firms [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 10 2017

  U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Rebounds

  Consumer credit outstanding grew $18.42 billion (5.8% y/y) during May following a $12.93 billion rise in April, revised from $8.20 billion. A $12.0 billion May increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. During [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 10 2017

  U.S. Labor Market Conditions Improvement Softens

  The Labor Market Conditions Index (LMCI) from the Federal Reserve Board includes 19 indicators of labor market activity, covering the broad categories of unemployment and underemployment. These include jobs, workweeks, wages, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 07 2017

  U.S. Payroll Increase Improves; Jobless Rate Edges Higher

  Nonfarm payrolls rose 222,000 (1.5% y/y) during June. It was the strongest gain since February. A 180,000 increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The rise followed a 152,000 gain in May and a 207,000 April [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 07 2017

  U.S. Payroll Increase Improves; Jobless Rate Edges Higher

  Nonfarm payrolls rose 222,000 (1.5% y/y) during June. It was the strongest gain since February. A 180,000 increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The rise followed a 152,000 gain in May and a 207,000 April [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 06 2017

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Applications Increase

  Initial claims for unemployment benefits during the week ended July 1 increased to 248,000 (-4.2% y/y) from an unrevised 244,000 in the prior week. Expectations called for 243,000 claims in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 06 2017

  U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Unexpectedly Rebounds

  The Composite Index of Nonmanufacturing Sector Activity from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) improved to 57.4 during June, and reversed virtually all of its May decline. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 06 2017

  U.S. ADP Private Payroll Gain Disappoints

  The ADP/Moody's National Employment Report for June indicated that private nonfarm payrolls increased 158,000 (2.0% y/y) following a 230,000 May gain, revised from 253,000. A 189,000 increase had been expected in the Action Economics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 05 2017

  U.S. Factory Orders Decline Again

  Manufacturing sector orders fell 0.8% during May (+6.0% y/y) following a 0.3% April decline, revised from -0.2%. Durable goods orders were off 0.8% (+5.7% y/y), revised from -1.1% in the advance report. Transportation sector orders [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 05 2017

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Ease; Crude Oil Improves

  Regular gasoline prices fell to $2.26 per gallon last week (-1.4% y/y) from $2.29 in the prior week. Prices were down from the high of $2.45 per gallon in late-April. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 05 2017

  U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Slip Again

  Total sales of light vehicles during June eased 0.9% (-1.8% y/y) to 16.51 million units (SAAR) from 16.66 million in May, according to the Autodata Corporation. Sales have fallen 10.4% since the December 2016 peak. Light truck sales [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 03 2017

  U.S. Construction Activity Remains Unchanged

  The value of construction put-in-place held steady during May (+4.9% y/y) following a 0.7% April dip, revised from -1.4%. Earlier figures also were revised. Expectations were for a 0.3% rise in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief