Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Oct 02 2017

  U.S. Construction Spending Activity Improves Modestly

  The value of construction put-in-place increased 0.5% (2.5% y/y) during August following two months of sharp deterioration, -1.2% in July and -0.8% in June. A 0.4% increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 02 2017

  ISM Factory Sector Index Strengthens to 13-Year High

  Factories were humming last month. The ISM manufacturing sector composite index jumped to 60.8 during September from August's unrevised reading of 58.8. It indicated the 13th strait month of increased factory sector activity, and the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 29 2017

  U.S. Personal Income & Consumer Spending Growth Ease

  Personal income increased 0.2% during August (2.8% y/y) following a 0.3% July rise, revised from 0.4%. The latest gain matched expectations in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Wages & salaries remained unchanged (2.7% y/y) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 29 2017

  Chicago Purchasing Managers Index Strengthens

  The Chicago Purchasing Managers Business Barometer for September rose to 65.2 following two months at 58.9. It was the highest level in three months and well improved versus 54.0 twelve months ago. A slip to 58.5 had been expected in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 29 2017

  U.S. Personal Income & Consumer Spending Growth Ease

  Personal income increased 0.2% during August (2.8% y/y) following a 0.3% July rise, revised from 0.4%. The latest gain matched expectations in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Wages & salaries remained unchanged (2.7% y/y) [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 28 2017

  U.S. GDP Growth is Revised Up as Profits Weakened

  Economic growth during Q2'17 was revised higher to 3.1% (2.2% y/y) from 3.0% in the second estimate, and compared to 2.6% in the advance report. It was the quickest rate of increase since Q1'15. The latest figure matched expectations [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 28 2017

  U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Increase

  Initial unemployment insurance claims rose to 272,000 during the week ended September 23 from 260,000 in the prior week, revised from 259,000. Expectations had been for 268,000 initial claims in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 28 2017

  U.S. GDP Growth is Revised Up as Profits Weakened

  Economic growth during Q2'17 was revised higher to 3.1% (2.2% y/y) from 3.0% in the second estimate, and compared to 2.6% in the advance report. It was the quickest rate of increase since Q1'15. The latest figure matched expectations [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 27 2017

  U.S. Pending Home Sales Decline Sharply

  The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported that pending home sales fell 2.6% (-2.6% y/y) during August to an index level of 106.3 (2001=100). That followed an unrevised 0.8% July decline, falling to the lowest level since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 27 2017

  U.S. Durable Goods Orders Are Boosted by the Transportation Sector

  New orders for durable goods increased 1.7% (5.1% y/y) during August following a little-revised 6.8% July decline. A 1.0% increase in orders had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The rise in orders reflected [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 26 2017

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Deteriorates

  The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index eased 0.5% (+15.7% y/y) during September to 119.8 following a 0.3% August rise, revised from 2.4%. The index was 4.1% below its March peak. The Action Economics Forecast Survey looked for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Sep 26 2017

  U.S. New Home Sales & Prices Decline

  Sales of new single-family homes fell 3.4% (-1.2% y/y) to 560,000 during August, following a 5.5% drop in July to 580,000, revised from 571,000. August sales were at the lowest level since December. The figures do not include the full [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief