Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Nov 22 2017

  U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Decline

  The labor market remains on a firm footing. Initial unemployment insurance applications fell to 239,000 (-4.7% y/y) during the week ended November 18, and reversed the prior week's increase. Expectations had been for 240,000 claims in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 22 2017

  U.S. Durable Goods Orders Decline as Aircraft Orders Fall

  Activity in the factory sector weakened last month. New orders for durable goods declined 1.2% during October (+1.0% y/y) following an unrevised 2.2% September increase. A 0.5% increase in orders had been expected in the Action [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 21 2017

  U.S. Energy Prices Backpedal

  Retail gasoline prices rose eased slightly last week to $2.57 per gallon (+19.2% y/y) following an increase to $2.59. It remained near the highest level since early-October. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 21 2017

  U.S. Energy Prices Backpedal

  Retail gasoline prices eased last week to $2.57 per gallon (+19.2% y/y) following an increase to $2.59. It remained near the highest level since early-October. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal variation in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 21 2017

  U.S. Existing Home Sales Improve While Prices Ease

  The National Association of Realtors reported that sales of existing homes increased 2.0% (-0.9% y/y) during October to 5.480 million units (SAAR) after a little-revised 0.4% slip to 5.370 million in September. It was the highest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 21 2017

  Philadelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Conditions Slip Again

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's Nonmanufacturing Business Index of current conditions at the company level declined to 16.4 in November from 24.7 during October. It was the third straight monthly decline and left the index [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 20 2017

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Surge

  The Conference Board's Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators jumped 1.2% during October following a 0.1% September rise, revised from -0.2%. It was the strongest monthly increase since November 2013 and occurred as hurricane [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 17 2017

  Kansas City Federal Reserve Factory Index Weakens

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City reported that its index of regional manufacturing sector business activity declined to 16 in November following an unrevised October increase to 23. The figure was the lowest reading in three [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 17 2017

  U.S. Housing Starts Recover

  Total housing starts increased 13.7% (-2.9% y/y) during October to 1.290 million units (AR) following a 3.2% September decline to 1.135 million, revised from 1.127 million. The latest level was the highest in twelve months. A level of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 16 2017

  U.S. Home Builder Index Moves Higher

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo increased 2.9% to 70 during November, adding to its October gain. The index was at the highest level since March, up 11.1% y/y. The NAHB [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 16 2017

  Philadelphia Fed Factory Conditions Index Drops

  The Philadelphia Federal Reserve reported that its General Factory Sector Business Conditions Index for November fell to 22.7 after a rise to 27.9 during October. The figure was the lowest in three months and compared to a February [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 16 2017

  U.S. Industrial Production Continues to Strengthen

  The Federal Reserve indicated that industrial production rose 0.9% (2.8% y/y) during October following a 0.4% September rise, revised from 0.3%. It was the strongest increase in six months and surpassed expectations for a 0.5% gain in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief