Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jun 21 2018

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators' Rate of Increase Eases

  The Conference Board's Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators improved 0.2% (6.1% y/y) during May after an unrevised 0.4% April rise, which was the same as during March. The latest monthly gain fell short of expectations for a [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 21 2018

  U.S. FHFA House Price Index Improves Minimally

  The Federal Housing Finance Agency's (FHFA) index of U.S. house prices nudged 0.1% higher (6.4% y/y) during April after a 0.2% March rise, revised from 0.1%. Over the past three months, prices have risen at a 4.7% annual rate, down [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 20 2018

  U.S. Existing Home Sales Decline While Prices Rise

  The National Association of Realtors reported that sales of existing homes fell 0.4% (-3.0% y/y) during May to 5.430 million units (AR) following a 2.7% April decline to 5.450 million units, revised from 5.460 million. It was the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 20 2018

  U.S. Current Account Deficit Widens

  The U.S. current account deficit rose to $124.1 billion during Q1 2018 from $116.1 billion in Q4 2017. It was the largest deficit since Q4 2008. The Q1 deficit compared to $129.0 billion expected in the Action Economics Forecast [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 19 2018

  U.S. Energy Prices Are Mixed

  Retail gasoline prices slipped to $2.88 per gallon last week (+24.2% y/y) from $2.91 per gallon during the prior week. Prices stood at the lowest level in five weeks. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 19 2018

  U.S. Housing Starts Recover to 11-Year High

  Total housing starts rose 5.0% (20.3% y/y) during May to 1.350 million units (SAAR) from 1.286 million in April, revised from 1.287 million. It was the highest level of starts since July 2007. A level of 1.305 million starts had been [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 18 2018

  U.S. Home Builder Index Backpedals

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo fell 2.9% (+3.0% y/y) to 68 during June and retraced its May increase to 70. The latest reading compared to expectations for 70 in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 16 2018

  Empire State Manufacturing Index Continues to Strengthen

  The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions rose to 25.0 during June, the highest level in eight months. Expectations had been for 18.0 in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. These data, reported by the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 15 2018

  U.S. Industrial Production Slips Unexpectedly

  The Federal Reserve reported that industrial production eased 0.1% (+3.5% y/y) during May following a 0.9% April rise, revised from 0.7%. A 0.2% increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Factory sector [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 15 2018

  Empire State Manufacturing Index Continues to Strengthen

  The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions rose to 25.0 during June, the highest level in eight months. Expectations had been for 18.0 in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. These data, reported by the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 14 2018

  U.S. Business Inventory Accumulation Continues; Sales Strengthen

  Total business inventories increased 0.3% (4.4% y/y) during April following a 0.1% March slip. Total business sales rose 0.4% (6.7% y/y), following a 0.6% gain. The inventory-to-sales ratio held steady at 1.35. It peaked early in 2016 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 14 2018

  U.S. Retail Sales Strengthen

  Consumers were in a shopping mood last month. Total retail sales increased 0.8% (5.9% y/y) during May following a 0.4% April gain, revised from 0.3%. It was the strongest monthly increase since November. A 0.4% rise had been expected [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief