Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jun 11 2019

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Strengthens Significantly

  The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) reported that its Small Business Optimism Index increased to 105.0 during May, up for the fourth straight month. It was the highest reading since October. The index gained 1.4% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 11 2019

  U.S. Producer Prices Rise Marginally; Core Prices Improve

  The Producer Price Index for final demand rose 0.1% during May (1.8% y/y) following a 0.2% April increase. A 0.2% rise had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Producer prices excluding food & energy increased an [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 10 2019

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings Stabilize; Hiring Strengthens

  The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the total job openings rate held at 4.7% during April, unchanged m/m but up from 4.6% twelve months earlier. It remained on the expansion's rising trend. The job openings rate is the job [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 07 2019

  U.S. Payroll Growth Slows Significantly; Wage Gain Eases Y/Y

  The labor market weakened during May. Nonfarm payrolls increased 75,000 (1.5% y/y) following a 224,000 April rise, revised from 263,000. The March increase also was revised lower to 153,000 from 189,000. The May rise in payrolls fell [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 07 2019

  U.S. Payroll Growth Slows Significantly; Wage Gain Eases Y/Y

  The labor market weakened during May. Nonfarm payrolls increased 75,000 (1.5% y/y) following a 224,000 April rise, revised from 263,000. The March increase also was revised lower to 153,000 from 189,000. The May rise in payrolls fell [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 07 2019

  U.S. Payroll Growth Slows Significantly; Wage Gain Eases Y/Y

  The labor market weakened during May. Nonfarm payrolls increased 75,000 (1.5% y/y) following a 224,000 April rise, revised from 263,000. The March increase also was revised lower to 153,000 from 189,000. The May rise in payrolls fell [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 07 2019

  U.S. Payroll Growth Slows Significantly; Wage Gain Eases Y/Y

  The labor market weakened during May. Nonfarm payrolls increased 75,000 (1.5% y/y) following a 224,000 April rise, revised from 263,000. The March increase also was revised lower to 153,000 from 189,000. The May rise in payrolls fell [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 06 2019

  U.S. Productivity Growth Revised Down; Labor Costs Nevertheless Decline

  Output per hour in the nonfarm business sector grew 3.4% (SAAR) during Q1'19, revised from 3.6% reported last month. The increase followed an unrevised 1.3% gain in Q4'18. It remained the strongest increase since Q3'14. During the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 06 2019

  U.S. Trade Deficit Narrows as Exports & Imports Decline

  The U.S. trade deficit in goods and services eased during April to $50.8 billion from $51.9 in March, revised from $50.0 billion. Expectations had been for a $50.7 billion deficit in the Action Economics Survey. Exports declined 2.2% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 05 2019

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Increase; Interest Rates Decline

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Applications Index rose 1.5% (12.7% y/y) during the week ending May 31 after the prior week's 3.3% decline. The rise reflected a 6.4% increase (32.6% y/y) in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 05 2019

  U.S. ISM Nonmanufacturing Index Rebounds; Prices Ease

  The Composite Index of Nonmanufacturing Sector Activity from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) increased to 56.9 during May after falling to 55.5 in April. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected stability at 55.5. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 05 2019

  U.S. ADP Private-Sector Payroll Gains Nearly Evaporate

  ADP indicated in its National Employment Report that private nonfarm payrolls during May edged 27,000 higher (1.9% y/y) following 271,000 April rise, revised from 275,000. The March increase was revised to 158,000 from 151,000. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief