Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Dec 15 2020

  U.S. Import Prices Edge Higher During November; Export Prices Strengthen

  • Oil prices increase firmly as nonpetroleum prices hold steady. • Export price strength led by higher agricultural costs. Import prices improved 0.1% (-1.0% y/y) during November following an unrevised 0.1% October slip. A 0.3% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 14 2020

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Demonstrate Upward Momentum

  • Factory sector growth has helped raise prices. • Commodity price strength is broad-based. Growth in factory sector output has been a mainstay of the economy's recovery. During the last six months, industrial production has risen by [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 11 2020

  U.S. Housing Affordability Eases During October

  • A decline in income more than offsets lower principal & interest payments. • October's slip in affordability follows upward revisions to earlier data. The National Association of Realtors reported that its Fixed Rate Mortgage [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 11 2020

  U.S. Producer Price Index & Core Prices Increase Slightly in November

  • Food & energy prices are firm again. • Core goods prices rise moderately. • Service prices hold steady. The Producer Price Index for final demand rose 0.1% (0.8% y/y) during November following a 0.3% October gain. It was the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 10 2020

  U.S. Government Budget Deficit Narrows in November

  • Reduction due to calendar shifts. • Revenue decline led by a drop in personal tax receipts. • Outlay surge driven by higher unemployment benefit payments. The U.S. Treasury Department reported that the federal budget deficit [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 10 2020

  U.S. Consumer Price Index & Core Prices Resume Increase

  • Retail price inflation remains under control. • Goods prices continue to firm y/y. • Service price inflation is decelerating. The Consumer Price Index rose 0.2% (1.2% y/y) during November following no change in October. A 0.1% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 10 2020

  U.S. Consumer Price Index & Core Prices Resume Increase

  • Retail price inflation remains under control. • Goods prices continue to firm y/y. • Service price inflation is decelerating. The Consumer Price Index rose 0.2% (1.2% y/y) during November following no change in October. A 0.1% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 09 2020

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Opportunities Rate Improves But Hiring Rate Weakens

  • The number of job openings strengthened. • Hiring falters. • Layoffs increase as quits hold steady. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that on the last business day of October, the total job openings rate improved to 4.5% from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 09 2020

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Ease As Purchase Applications Fall

  • Mortgage rates decline to another record low. • Refinancing applications rise moderately. The Mortgage Bankers Association Mortgage Loan Applications Index declined 1.2% in the week ended December 4 (+59.4% y/y) and added to the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 08 2020

  U.S. Productivity Strength During Q3'20 Shows Little Revision

  • Growth in output per hour remains firm for second straight quarter. • Unit labor cost decline is lessened. Nonfarm business sector productivity increased 4.6% (SAAR) during Q3'20, revised from 4.9%, during Q3'20 following a 10.6% Q2 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 08 2020

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Weakens in November

  • NFIB Small Business Optimism fell to lowest level in three months. • Economic growth worries surge. • Pricing gauges continue to strengthen. The National Federation of Independent Business' (NFIB) Small Business Optimism Index [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 08 2020

  U.S. Energy Prices Firm

  • Gasoline prices reach eight-week high. • Crude oil costs strengthen to highest level since March. • Natural gas prices are trending higher. The price of regular gasoline increased four cents last week to $2.16 per gallon (-15.8% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief