Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Oct 12 2004

  Small Business Optimism Rebounded

  The September Small Business Optimism Index published by the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) rose 1.6% and recouped some of the prior month's 2.8% decline. The index remained 2.2% below last December's peak level. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 12 2004

  Small Business Optimism Rebounded

  The September Small Business Optimism Index published by the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) rose 1.6% and recouped some of the prior month's 2.8% decline. The index remained 2.2% below last December's peak level. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 11 2004

  Consumer Credit Usage Weak But Total Liabilities Strong

  Consumer credit outstanding fell $2.4B in August following an $11.2B spike in July. Year-to-year growth in consumer credit of roughly 4% was depressed as individuals shifted borrowing to lower interest rate, home equity lines of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 08 2004

  U.S. Job Creation Disappointing in September, Hurricane Effects Small

  Nonfarm payrolls grew 96,000 last month following a downwardly revised 128,000 August increase. Consensus expectations had been for a 150,000 job gain in September. The four hurricanes which struck the US during August and September [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 08 2004

  U.S. Job Creation Disappointing in September, Hurricane Effects Small

  Nonfarm payrolls grew 96,000 last month following a downwardly revised 128,000 August increase. Consensus expectations had been for a 150,000 job gain in September. The four hurricanes which struck the US during August and September [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 07 2004

  Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Fell Despite Hurricane Jeanne

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell 37,000 last week to 335,000 after a revised 21,000 jump the prior week. Consensus expectations had been for a more moderate decline to 355,000 claims. Hurricane Jeanne made landfall on [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 07 2004

  Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Fell Despite Hurricane Jeanne

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell 37,000 last week to 335,000 after a revised 21,000 jump the prior week. Consensus expectations had been for a more moderate decline to 355,000 claims. Hurricane Jeanne made landfall on [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 06 2004

  Mortgage Applications Flat

  The index of mortgage applications compiled by the Mortgage Bankers Association was stable last week with the prior period, but started October 4.1% ahead of the September average. Applications to refinance rose 2.7% w/w. They began [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 06 2004

  Mortgage Applications Flat

  The index of mortgage applications compiled by the Mortgage Bankers Association was stable last week with the prior period, but started October 4.1% ahead of the September average. Applications to refinance rose 2.7% w/w. They began [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 05 2004

  U.S. Chain Store Sales Rebounded Some

  Chain store sales rebounded a modest 0.3% last week following two weeks of pounding by hurricanes, according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS. Sales began October 0.4% below the September average which fell [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 05 2004

  Challenger Layoffs Surged

  Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported that announced job cuts surged 45.5% in September following moderate gains in four of the prior five months. The increase to 107,863 was to the highest level since January. The three month moving [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 05 2004

  ISM Non-manufacturing Index Down Unexpectedly

  The September Business Activity Index for the non-manufacturing sector fell to 56.7 from 58.2 in August, reported the Institute for Supply Management. Consensus expectations had been for a moderate gain to 59.0. Since the series' [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief