German confidence continues to edge ahead. In February GfK estimates that it will rise to 5.7 from 5.5. At that level confidence stands in the top 16% of its ordered queue of values and in the 65th percentile of this high-low range. [...]
Introducing
Robert Brusca
in:Our Authors
Robert A. Brusca is Chief Economist of Fact and Opinion Economics, a consulting firm he founded in Manhattan. He has been an economist on Wall Street for over 25 years. He has visited central banking and large institutional clients in over 30 countries in his career as an economist. Mr. Brusca was a Divisional Research Chief at the Federal Reserve Bank of NY (Chief of the International Financial markets Division), a Fed Watcher at Irving Trust and Chief Economist at Nikko Securities International. He is widely quoted and appears in various media. Mr. Brusca holds an MA and Ph.D. in economics from Michigan State University and a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan. His research pursues his strong interests in non aligned policy economics as well as international economics. FAO Economics’ research targets investors to assist them in making better investment decisions in stocks, bonds and in a variety of international assets. The company does not manage money and has no conflicts in giving economic advice.
Publications by Robert Brusca
Global| Jan 25 2011German Confidence Ekes Out Gains While Questions Swirl
- Global| Jan 24 2011
Foreign Orders Continue To Lead Way Higher
Orders in the Euro-Area scooted ahead by 2.1% in November after rising smartly by 1.4% in October. Together the two months still do not restore the ground lost in the 4.2% drop of September. Domestic orders have dropped by about two [...]
- Global| Jan 21 2011
INSEE's Industry Survey Points Up For France
France sails briskly though troubled euro-waters - INSEE's indicator for the French Industry rose briskly in January. Still, in broad terms the growth rate in the indicator is flattening out as the chart above demonstrates. Solid [...]
- Global| Jan 20 2011
UK Industrial Orders Sink Surprisingly Fast
UK industrial orders fell off sharply in January and fell unexpectedly. The series have been expected to make a small improvement instead orders plummeted to a net reading of -16 from a net of -3 in December. Orders reside in the 61st [...]
- Global| Jan 18 2011
German Financial Experts Are Upbeat On Prospects
The German financial experts that respond to the Zew survey are a bit more upbeat this month. The expectations reading jumped quite a number of notches from a December value of 4.3 to a January reading of 15.4. Still, expectations [...]
- Global| Jan 13 2011
Japan Machinery Orders Disappoint
Japan's machinery orders fell by 8.3% in November as core order slipped by 3% falling for the third month in a row. Domestic orders continued to be very erratic and are weaker at only half the growth for foreign orders over the past [...]
- Global| Jan 12 2011
Euro-Area IP Surges in November
Tale of two... Euro-Area IP is a tale of two trends. One trends applies to capital goods output which seems strong and firmly ensconced in a still accelerating uptrend. There is euro-optimism for you. The other trend is lower and is [...]
- Global| Jan 11 2011
Japan LEI Gains Some Traction
Japan's LEI has been gaining some traction. It shows a more complete recovery in gear than does the OECD LEI which has not rebounded as much in the last year or so as the Japanese national gauge. Japan's own LEI gauge shows a recent [...]
- Global| Jan 07 2011
EMU Does Better Than Expected; Germany Best Of All
German IP fell in November dropping by 0.7% following a surge of 3% in October. While the growth rate is half that for Yr/Yr growth it remains about the same for three months as for six months, and those rates are still fairly strong. [...]
- Global| Jan 06 2011
EMU Does Better Than Expected; Germany Best Of All
EMU confidence rose in December reaching the 70th percentile in its queue of values and topping its average by over six percentage points. Germany, France, Italy and the UK are the EU members in the table whose overall sentiment [...]
- Global| Jan 05 2011
Euro-Area Orders Slow
Both domestically motivated and foreign motivated orders are in a declining trend in the Euro-Area. The standard deviation o f the monthly percentage change in orders in 2010 has been 3.2 percentage points. Taken alone booth domestic- [...]
- Global| Jan 04 2011
Household Confidence Erodes In France
France's Household confidence indicator had been creeping higher until December. Its backtracking was unexpected. The index made a steady recovery from its low of December 2008 through Jan 2010 then it fell and has since mounted a [...]
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