German exports fell by 1.8% in July after falling by 1.2% in June. But the preceding months found German exports very volatile rising by 4.3% in May falling by 5.6% in April and surging by 7.2% in March and so on. With volatility like [...]
Introducing
Robert Brusca
in:Our Authors
Robert A. Brusca is Chief Economist of Fact and Opinion Economics, a consulting firm he founded in Manhattan. He has been an economist on Wall Street for over 25 years. He has visited central banking and large institutional clients in over 30 countries in his career as an economist. Mr. Brusca was a Divisional Research Chief at the Federal Reserve Bank of NY (Chief of the International Financial markets Division), a Fed Watcher at Irving Trust and Chief Economist at Nikko Securities International. He is widely quoted and appears in various media. Mr. Brusca holds an MA and Ph.D. in economics from Michigan State University and a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan. His research pursues his strong interests in non aligned policy economics as well as international economics. FAO Economics’ research targets investors to assist them in making better investment decisions in stocks, bonds and in a variety of international assets. The company does not manage money and has no conflicts in giving economic advice.
Publications by Robert Brusca
Global| Sep 08 2011German Trade Trends Slip
- Global| Sep 07 2011
German Capital Goods Are Sharply Higher
Industrial output in Germany rose by a sharp 4% in July after falling by 1% in June. With consumer goods slackening their pace over three-months capital goods output is ramping up over all horizons. Capital goods orders surged by 7.5% [...]
- Global| Sep 06 2011
German Orders Pull Back; Can The Zone Be Far Behind?
German orders fell by 2.8% after two months of rising and were weaker than had been expected in July. Year-over-year orders are up by 8.7% on roughly similar growth for domestic-sourced orders and foreign orders, but after that the [...]
- Global| Sep 02 2011
PPI Is Still High But Is Pressure Deflating?
Central bankers like Yr/Yr inflation trends because those trends usually are ‘true’. In the case of the Euro-Area’s PPI, Yr/Yr inflation is still pretty high and the sector paths show very little loss in near term momentum except for [...]
- Global| Aug 31 2011
UK Consumer Confidence Sinks Back - While Some People Never Learn
UK consumers are suffering a relapse. After seeing confidence jump in May, June, July and August have brought on a relapse. Is it the knock-on effects of the European debt crisis or an overdose of the policies of the Conservative [...]
- Global| Aug 29 2011
Italian Confidence Still Hitting The Skids-Hard
The Italian index of consumer confidence from ISAE fell hard this month and shows a continuing unraveling in confidence. Yet the overall situation for the last 12-months, at first glance, does not seem too bad. Even at a raw score of [...]
- Global| Aug 26 2011
World Money on Very Different Path...World Economies Nonetheless Stuck on the Very Same Road
Money supply is moving in all different directions across the main monetary center countries. These disparate movements reflect the various paths these key countries have taken in dealing with the financial distress. The UK has [...]
- Global| Aug 25 2011
UK Distributive Trades Still Weak- So Is Whole of UK Economy
The UK distributive trades sector is still floundering. The sales metric for August compared to one year ago fell to -20 from +4 in July a huge month-to-month drop. Orders from one year ago fell to -15 from -7. Sales for "the time of [...]
- Global| Aug 24 2011
German IFO Shows Weakness...EMU Order Show Clear Decay As Well
There is no mistaking the sector trends in the chart for the German IFO index. Sectors are losing momentum and that loss of momentum has accelerated. While there is some DENIAL economics in train I think we are best off swallowing the [...]
- Global| Aug 23 2011
Seemingly Unrelated Regressions... German Zew Index takes Plunge that Exceeds US Philly Survey Drop
Extreme fluctuations set the stage In the US the out-sized and near record monthly drop in the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's MFG index gave economists, investors and other interested parties reason for slack-jawed pause. Coming [...]
- Global| Aug 19 2011
Japan Indices Show the Profile of Impact and Rebound
Japan’s indices are showing a rebound in its three main sectors: Manufacturing, Services (tertiary sector) and Construction. The rebound is being led by a strong recovery after a deep drop in manufacturing and mining. Services [...]
- Global| Aug 18 2011
Japan LEI Shows Some Life
Japan’s LEI is back to where it was before disaster(s) struck. Its growth rate is up boosted, still, by exports relative to imports and by the Japanese stock market, housing starts and overtime in manufacturing as Japan’s factories [...]
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