Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Sep 27 2006

UK Consumers Pay Down Credit Cards

Summary

After a surge in credit card borrowing in 2004, British consumers slowed their use of credit cards last year and most recently, in six of the last eight months, they have cut their credit card debt absolutely. This pattern emerges [...]


After a surge in credit card borrowing in 2004, British consumers slowed their use of credit cards last year and most recently, in six of the last eight months, they have cut their credit card debt absolutely. This pattern emerges from data reported today through August by the British Bankers Association for their MBBG group, the "Major British Banking Groups". In August, credit cards had net paydowns of £399 million, following £77 million in July and £260 million in June. This contrasts sharply with net increases that averaged £400 million in 2004.

Noncredit card debt activity remains greater. Consumers added £186 million in August, almost the same as June's advance of £189 million, with July at £368 million. Over the last year, these additions have averaged £321 million a month. At the same time, this is less than other recent years. In fact, it is the weakest 12-month experience since 1997. The peak usage of this form of consumer credit occurred during 2002, when 12-month averages ran right at £700 million in several months.

So consumers are reducing their reliance on credit. But retail sales data indicate that at least some forms of consumer spending are growing more vigorously, and these might be items consumers would buy on credit. Sales at clothing and household goods stores turned up in early 2005 and have accelerated since then. Outlays for services, as measured in the national accounts data, have slowed through Q2, though, and this may help explain the reduced use of consumer credit.

Monthly Averages
UK: Net Changes, SA, mil.£* Aug 2006 July 2006 June 2006 Last 12 Months
2005 2004 2003
Credit Card Credit -399 -77 -260 -50 +137 +400 +316
Noncredit Card Credit +186 +368 +189 +321 +395 +552 +461
  • Carol Stone, CBE came to Haver Analytics in 2003 following more than 35 years as a financial market economist at major Wall Street financial institutions, most especially Merrill Lynch and Nomura Securities. She has broad experience in analysis and forecasting of flow-of-funds accounts, the federal budget and Federal Reserve operations. At Nomura Securites, among other duties, she developed various indicator forecasting tools and edited a daily global publication produced in London and New York for readers in Tokyo.   At Haver Analytics, Carol is a member of the Research Department, aiding database managers with research and documentation efforts, as well as posting commentary on select economic reports. In addition, she conducts Ways-of-the-World, a blog on economic issues for an Episcopal-Church-affiliated website, The Geranium Farm.   During her career, Carol served as an officer of the Money Marketeers and the Downtown Economists Club. She has a PhD from NYU's Stern School of Business. She lives in Brooklyn, New York, and has a weekend home on Long Island.

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