Global| Jun 30 2014U.S. Pending Home Sales Rise to Highest Level Since June
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
Pending sales of single-family homes jumped 6.1% (-5.2% y/y) during May, according the National Association of Realtors (NAR), following a little-revised 0.5% April increase. Expectations had been for a 1.5% rise, according to [...]
Pending sales of single-family homes jumped 6.1% (-5.2% y/y) during May, according the National Association of Realtors (NAR), following a little-revised 0.5% April increase. Expectations had been for a 1.5% rise, according to Bloomberg. The latest level was the highest in eleven months.
Home sales improved across the country last month. In the Northeast, sales jumped 8.8% (0.2% y/y) to the highest level since June. In the West, sales gained 7.6% (-11.1% y/y) but remained down 17.0% during the last eleven months. In the Midwest, home buying improved 6.3% but remained off 6.6% y/y. In the South, sales rose 4.4% (-2.9% y/y) to the highest level in nine months.
The pending home sales figures are analogous to the new home sales data from the Commerce Department. They measure home sales when the sales contract is signed, not at the time the sale is closed. In developing the model for the index, the NAR demonstrated that the level of monthly sales-contract activity parallels the level of closed existing-home sales in the following two months. The series dates back to 2001 and the data are available in Haver's PREALTOR database.
The Effect of Large Investors on Asset Quality: Evidence from Subprime Mortgage Securities from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta can be found here.
| Pending Home Sales (%, SA) | May | Apr | Mar | Y/Y | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total | 6.1 | 0.5 | 3.4 | -5.2 | 4.5 | 11.3 | 1.3 |
| Northeast | 8.8 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 6.1 | 16.6 | -4.0 |
| Midwest | 6.3 | 5.0 | -0.8 | -6.6 | 10.4 | 17.7 | 2.2 |
| South | 4.4 | -0.4 | 5.5 | -2.9 | 5.4 | 12.7 | 1.4 |
| West | 7.6 | -2.5 | 5.7 | -11.1 | -3.6 | 1.2 | 3.4 |
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
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