Haver Analytics
Haver Analytics
Global| Oct 27 2005

Initial Claims for Jobless Insurance Again Down Sharply

Summary

Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell 28,000 to 328,000 last week versus a little revised 35,000 decline during the prior period. Consensus expectations had been for 340,000 claims. The four-week moving average of initial [...]


Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell 28,000 to 328,000 last week versus a little revised 35,000 decline during the prior period. Consensus expectations had been for 340,000 claims.

The four-week moving average of initial claims fell to 366,500 (+7.8% y/y).

Continuing claims for unemployment insurance rose 42,000 following a downwardly revised 4,000 gain during the prior week.

The insured rate of unemployment rose to 2.3% from 2.2% during the prior four weeks. The low in early September was 2.0%.

Unemployment Insurance (000s) 10/22/05 10/15/05 Y/Y 2004 2003 2002
Initial Claims 328 356 -3.5% 343 402 404
   Hurricane Related Claims (000, NSA) 40 75
Continuing Claims -- 2,904 3.2% 2,926 3,531 3,570
  • Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

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