
Home Prices Rose More Slowly
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Summary
Home prices as measured by the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO) rose another 2.0% last quarter. The increase was the slowest after rising between 2.5% and 4.5% each quarter for two years. The OFHEO house price [...]
Home prices as measured by the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO) rose another 2.0% last quarter. The increase was the slowest after rising between 2.5% and 4.5% each quarter for two years.
The OFHEO house price index is a geometric weighted average based on more than 26.5 million repeat transactions (purchase or refinance) over 29 years and 12,000 transactions annually.
Year to year, the 12.5% gain in prices nationwide was the slowest since late 2004.
The purchase only home price index rose 1.8% (10.1% y/y), also its slowest gain in nearly three years after quarterly gains which ranged between 2.1% and 2.9%.
Slower growth in home prices ranged across the country but was pronounced in Massachusetts where prices rose just 0.5% (6.5% y/y). That y/y gain is down from a peak of 14.4% in 2000 and 10.1% last year. Prices also inched up just 0.2% (2.9% y/y) in Michigan, the slowest y/y gain since 1993. In South Dakota, home prices fell 0.1% (+6.1% y/y).
In New York, house prices rose 1.9% (12.4% y/y) and in California prices rose 2.5% (19.2% y/y), a slowdown from the 28.0% y/y gain in late 2004.
House price appreciation continued strong in Florida as evidenced by a 4.3% (26.6% y/y) gain. Last year prices in Florida rose 25.9% and in 2004 were up 17.0%.
View the latest OFHEO release here.
OFHEO | 1Q06 | 4Q05 | Y/Y | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
House Price Index | 2.0% | 3.1% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 6.9% |
Tom Moeller
AuthorMore in Author Profile »Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.