Failure to reach a compromise on a broad federal stimulus plan creates a big "hole" in consumer’s cash flow. The "hole" is so big it raises the risk of substantial reduction, if not a recession, in consumer spending in the coming [...]
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Global| Aug 10 2020
Chaos In Governing During A Crisis Creates More Problems Than It Solves
With negotiations over new federal stimulus deadlocked, President Trump signed four executive measures that circumvent Congress's constitutional authority to tax and spend. Chaos in governing has been a trademark of the Trump [...]
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Global| Aug 05 2020
Global PMIs- A Rebound and a Fun-House Mirror Trick
In the movie Jurassic Park, there is a scene in which a jeep carrying the movies' 'stars' is fleeing a T-Rex. As the driver looks in the rearview mirror, you see plainly the warning that 'objects are closer than they appear.' [...]
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Back when I was employed at the Chicago Fed, some of us from the economic research department and the legal department would gather in the cafeteria for afternoon coffee (not to mention morning coffee and lunch). I remember one [...]
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