Total business inventories in September added 0.5% to the prior month's 0.4% rise. The gains marked the strongest consecutive monthly increases since February & March yet they failed to reverse the decline in the ratio of inventories- [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Nov 16 2005U.S. Business Inventories Higher Again
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 16 2005Home Heating Costs Lifted CPI
The 0.2% rise in the consumer price index (CPI-U) last month was stronger than Consensus expectations for no change in prices following the huge 1.2% spurt in September. Though energy prices declined, the fall was limited to 0.2% due [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 16 2005Home Heating Costs Lifted CPI
The 0.2% rise in the consumer price index (CPI-U) last month was stronger than Consensus expectations for no change in prices following the huge 1.2% spurt in September. Though energy prices declined, the fall was limited to 0.2% due [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 15 2005Empire State Index Back Up
The November Empire State Index of General Business Conditions in New York's manufacturing industries regained all of the prior month's decline and rose 10.7 points to 22.82, the highest level since August. Consensus expectations had [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 15 2005Chain Store Sales Backpedaled, Gas Prices Down
Chain store sales gave back last week about half of the prior period's strong gain and fell 0.6% according to the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC)-UBS survey. Nevertheless, the average level of sales in November [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 15 2005U.S. Retail Sales Dip
US retail sales dipped 0.1% last month as consumers shifted away from autos and spent elsewhere. The decline followed a little revised 0.3% September gain but compared favorably to Consensus expectations for a 0.6% decline because [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 15 2005PPI Up Another 0.7%, Core Prices Fell
The overall Producer Price Index rose another 0.7% last month on top of the 1.9% September spike. The latest by far exceeded Consensus expectations for no change in prices. The strength last month was led by a 12.3% (50.4% y/y) rise [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 15 2005PPI Up Another 0.7%, Core Prices Fell
The overall Producer Price Index rose another 0.7% last month on top of the 1.9% September spike. The latest by far exceeded Consensus expectations for no change in prices. The strength last month was led by a 12.3% (50.4% y/y) rise [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 14 2005October U.S. Budget Deficit Down Y/Y
The U.S. federal government budget deficit continued lower during the opening month of FY06. The deficit of $47.2B fell 17.6% versus last October, about the same rate of decline as during FY05. As a percentage of GDP the deficit fell [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 14 2005October U.S. Budget Deficit Down Y/Y
The U.S. federal government budget deficit continued lower during the opening month of FY06. The deficit of $47.2B fell 17.6% versus last October, about the same rate of decline as during FY05. As a percentage of GDP the deficit fell [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 11 2005OECD Leaders Up Again
The modest 0.2% increase in the September Leading Index of the Major 7 OECD economies marked the fourth consecutive gain and it improved the leaders' six month growth rate to 1.1%, the best in twelve months.The increase reflected [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Nov 11 2005OECD Leaders Up Again
The modest 0.2% increase in the September Leading Index of the Major 7 OECD economies marked the fourth consecutive gain and it improved the leaders' six month growth rate to 1.1%, the best in twelve months.The increase reflected [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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