- Tax receipts remain firm YTD.
- Outlays decline with low unemployment.
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.
Publications by Tom Moeller
USA| Sep 13 2022U.S. Federal Government Budget Deficit Deepens in August
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Lower metals prices lead the drop.
- Oil prices continue to weaken.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Sep 09 2022U.S. Wholesale Inventory Growth Slows During July
- Inventories of nondurable goods slip.
- Wholesale sales decline, led by petroleum.
- Inventory-to-sales ratio continues upward trend.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Sep 08 2022U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Ease Further
- First-time claims fall to lowest since the end of May.
- Continued weeks claimed rise to five-month high.
- Insured unemployment rate holds near record low.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Sep 08 2022U.S. Consumer Credit Growth Slips in July
- Annual growth remains strongest in twenty years.
- Revolving credit usage strongest since 1996.
- Nonrevolving credit growth remains firm.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Sep 07 2022U.S. Energy Prices Weaken Broadly
- Gasoline prices continue moving down.
- Crude oil prices decline sharply.
- Natural gas prices ease.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Sep 07 2022U.S. Foreign Trade Deficit Shrinks in July
- Deficit is smallest in nine months.
- Exports rise slightly, while imports decline sharply.
- Petroleum imports rise but crude oil prices fall.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Sep 06 2022U.S. ISM Services Index Improves Slightly in August
- Business activity, new orders & employment move up.
- Employment and supplier delivery speeds ease.
- Prices weaken again.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- Payroll employment rises by 315,000 workers.
- Monthly wage gain is slowest in four months.
- Unemployment rate moves up to 3.7%.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- USA| Sep 01 2022
U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index Holds Steady in August
- Composite index remains well below 2021 peak.
- New orders & employment improve, but production declines.
- Price index plunges.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
- USA| Sep 01 2022
U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Ease During August
- Light truck purchases slip, but auto sales improve.
- Imports' share strengthens.
- Sales remain constrained as parts shortages limit production.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Aug 31 2022U.S. Chicago Business Barometer Is Little Changed in August
- Production & new orders improve moderately; inventories surge.
- Employment weakens & supplier delivery speeds quicken.
- Price index holds steady.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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