Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

USA| Apr 17 2023
Empire State Manufacturing Activity Rebounds During April
Index jumps to highest level in nine months.

New orders and shipments surge.

Prices paid weaken.

Expectations improve modestly.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Apr 14 2023
U.S. Retail Sales Decline Broadly in March
Lower motor vehicle sales & gasoline prices continue to weigh on spending.

Online sales strengthen again.

Sales elsewhere are broadly lower.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Apr 14 2023
U.S. Housing Affordability Index Slips in February
Home prices rise following several months of decline.

Monthly mortgage payments remain high.

Mortgage rates ease & income increases.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Apr 13 2023
U.S. PPI Declines in March
Weakness lowers y/y gain to two-year low.

Core goods inflation is steady; services prices fall.

Energy prices tumble; food prices rise.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Apr 12 2023
U.S. Government Budget Deficit Deepens in March
Revenues decline with lower personal tax receipts.

Outlays surge for Medicare, Social Security & Interest.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Apr 11 2023
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index Slips in March
Component declines are widespread.

Expectations for economic improvement remain depressed.

Inflation & labor quality remain single most important problems.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Apr 11 2023
U.S. Energy Prices Strengthen
Retail gasoline prices jump.

Crude oil prices surge as OPEC cuts output.

Natural gas prices edge higher.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Apr 10 2023
U.S. Wholesale Inventories Rise Slightly in February
Durable goods inventories resume increase; nondurables fall again.

Sales rise steadily as durable product sales surge.

Inventory-to-sales ratio eases but remains elevated.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Apr 07 2023
U.S. Employment Growth Slows While Jobless Rate Slips in March; Earnings Edge Higher
Payroll gain reflects service sector improvement.

Earnings growth remains moderate.

Jobless rate slips and remains near 50-year low.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Apr 06 2023
U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Decline
Fall in initial claims last week follows upward revisions.

Insured unemployment continues rising trend.

Insured jobless rate steadies.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Apr 05 2023
U.S. ISM Services Index Declines Sharply in March
Reading is lowest in three months and well below 2021 peak.

Business activity, supplier delivery, new orders & employment fall.

Prices index weakens greatly and is down sharply from 2021 high.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
USA| Apr 05 2023
ADP Employment & Earnings Slow in March
Weaker-than-expected payroll gain follows February strength.

Growth moderation stretches across company size; service sector hiring slows sharply.

Pay increase weakens notably.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief