Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jul 01 2010

  U.S. Construction Activity Slips After Two Strong Months

  Construction activity slipped 0.2% during May following revised 2.3% and 1.0% gains during the prior two months. The slip was in line with Consensus expectations for a 0.7% decline. Monthly declines in private construction were [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 01 2010

  U.S. ISM Index Falls Again

  Growth still is positive, but for the factory sector the pace of improvement waned further last month. The June composite index from the Institute for Supply Management slipped to 56.2 from 59.7 in May. The latest figure disappointed [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 01 2010

  Challenger Layoffs Rose Slightly M/M But Remain Near Lowest in Ten Years

  According to the outplacement firm of Challenger, Grey & Christmas the level of layoffs during June rose slightly to 39,358. Still, the level was off by roughly one-half from last year and slightly above the lowest level since 2000. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 01 2010

  U.S. Initial Jobless Insurance Claims Post Disappointing Increase

  A modestly rising trend to initial claims for unemployment insurance has become apparent. Claims rose 13,000 last week to 472,000 following a slightly-revised 17,000 decline during the prior week. Consensus expectations were for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 30 2010

  U.S. Mortgage Applications Move Higher But Purchase Apps Sustain 13-Year Low

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications rose again last week by 8.8% to pull the June average up 4.0% from May and up by one-half from June '09. Firm lending activity continued to reflect strong [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 30 2010

  ADP Report: Private-Sector Job Growth Slows This Month

  The rate of improvement in the U.S. job market slowed during June. The latest report from the payroll processor ADP, in their National Employment Report, indicated that private nonfarm payroll levels rose last month by 13,000. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 29 2010

  U.S. Gasoline and Crude Oil Prices Rise

  The pump price for regular gasoline of $2.76 per gallon last week was its highest in five weeks. Also, prices were up more than three-quarters since the December 2008 low. Yesterday, the spot market price for a gallon of regular [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 29 2010

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Declines

  The Conference Board indicated that consumer confidence wavered this month. Their consumer confidence index fell 15.6% m/m to 52.9 and gave up the prior two months' increase. Nevertheless, confidence remained improved from last year. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 29 2010

  U.S. Weekly Chain Store Sales Recover

  Consumer spending overall is holding up but shopping at chain stores is barely treading water. Sales last week rose a healthy 2.1% to their highest level since early-May. The increase, however, left the June average down slightly from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 29 2010

  Case-Shiller Home Price Index Improves

  Home prices improved during April. Seasonally adjusted, the Case-Shiller Home Price Index inched up 0.4% from March after two months of slight decline. However, home prices remain depressed and have fallen 29.1% since the May 2006 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 28 2010

  Chicago Fed Index Remains Near Its Highest

  The U.S. economy is continuing its improvement. At a reading of 0.21, the National Activity Index (CFNAI) reported by the Chicago Fed held near its earlier levels which were upwardly revised. The latest was near the highest since 2006 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jun 28 2010

  U.S. Personal Income & Spending Firm While Pricing Improves

  Despite what was a disappointing May jobs number, personal income growth remained firm. May income rose 0.4% after an upwardly-revised 0.5% April gain. A 0.5% increase had been expected. Last month's increase reflected a stable 0.5% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief