Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Oct 17 2012

  U.S. Housing Starts Surge To Highest Level Since 2008

  Last month builders began work on more new homes than in any month in four years. Total housing starts jumped 15.0% (34.8% y/y) to 872,000 (AR) from 758,000 during August, revised up from 750,000. Expectations had been for 770,000 [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 16 2012

  U.S. Home Builders Index Notches Higher

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo rose this month to 41 from 40 in September. The latest figure was the highest since June 2006. The index of single-family home sales held [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 16 2012

  U.S. Industrial Production Recovers Somewhat

  The factory sector remained under pressure last month because of slack demand and too many inventories. Industrial production gained a modest 0.4% during September following a 1.4% August decline, last month reported as -1.2%. A 0.3% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 16 2012

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Slip

  The pump price for a gallon of regular gasoline fell three cents last week to $3.82. Haver Analytics constructs seasonal factors to account for usual volatility and the adjusted price rose one penny to $3.86 per gallon, the highest [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 16 2012

  U.S. Consumer Prices Post Another Strong Increase

  Consumer prices posted a second consecutive 0.6% rise during September. The gain was roughly in line with expectations for a 0.5% rise. Despite this strength, prices excluding food & energy continued rising just 0.1% (2.0% y/y) for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 15 2012

  Empire State Factory Index Indicates Lower Activity

  The Empire State Factory Index of General Business Conditions for October continued to suggest lower levels of activity. At -6.16 the figure was improved slightly from September but remained near the lowest level of the economic [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 15 2012

  U.S. Business Inventory Growth Is Steady

  During August, business inventories rose 0.6% following a 0.8% July rise. Though the y/y trend gain fell, these latest gains were elevated versus the Q2 average of 0.2%. Behind the quicker increase was a 0.9% rise in merchant [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 15 2012

  U.S. Budget Deficit Shrinks For FY'12

  The Federal Government Budget Deficit fell to $1,089B for all of FY'12 from $1,298B in FY'11, according to figures released Friday by the U.S. Treasury. In a sign of economic improvement, part of that shrinkage owed to a $75.0B [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 15 2012

  U.S. Retail Sales Growth Is Firm & Broad-based

  The consumer remained in a spending mood last month. Retail sales jumped 1.1% following an upwardly revised 1.2% August rise, last month reported as 0.9%. July's 0.7% increase was upwardly revised as well. A 0.8% gain in September [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 15 2012

  U.S. Budget Deficit Shrinks For FY'12

  The Federal Government Budget Deficit fell to $1,089B for all of FY'12 from $1,298B in FY'11, according to figures released Friday by the U.S. Treasury. In a sign of economic improvement, part of that shrinkage owed to a $75.0B [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 12 2012

  Consumer Sentiment Jumps To Highest Level Since 2007

  The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment for mid-October jumped to 83.1 from an unrevised 78.3 in September. The latest number was the highest since September 2007 and easily surpassed expectations for 77.7. During the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Oct 12 2012

  U.S. PPI Gain Reflects Energy Price Strength

  The producer price index for finished goods jumped again last month. The 1.1% increase (2.2% y/y) followed a 1.7% August rise and beat expectations for a 0.7% gain. Conversely, the unchanged level (2.3% y/y) of prices excluding food & [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief