Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Nov 30 2016

  U.S. Personal Income Gain Strengthens and Outpaces Spending

  Personal income posted a 0.6% increase (3.9% y/y) during October following 0.4% September rise, revised from 0.3%. It was the largest increase in six months. A 0.4% increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 30 2016

  U.S. ADP Private Payroll Increase Strengthens

  The ADP/Moody's National Employment Report indicated that nonfarm payroll employment increased 216,000 during November following a 119,000 October rise, revised from 147,000. The September increase of 196,000 also was revised down [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 29 2016

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Stabilize; Crude Oil Increases

  Regular gasoline prices held at $2.15 per gallon (4.6% y/y) last week, their lowest level since mid-August. Prices remained down versus a 2014 high of $3.71 per gallon. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 29 2016

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Reaches 2007 High

  The Conference Board reported that its Consumer Confidence index for November increased 6.3% (15.7% y/y) to 107.1, the highest level since July 2007. October's level was revised up to 100.8 from 98.6. A rise to 101.1 in November had [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 29 2016

  U.S. GDP Growth Revised Higher; Corporate Profits Gain Moderates

  Economic growth was revised higher to 3.2% (1.6% y/y) during the third quarter, up from the advance estimate of a 2.9% gain. It was the strongest increase in two years, and exceeded the estimate of 3.0% growth in the Action Economics [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 28 2016

  Texas Factory Sector Activity Strengthens

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas indicated in its Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey that the General Business Activity index jumped to 10.2 during November, following negative readings extending back to December 2015. The worst of [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 23 2016

  U.S. New Home Sales and Prices Backpedal

  Sales of new single-family homes during October declined 1.9% (+17.8% y/y) to 563,000 (AR) from 574,000 sales in September, revised from 593,000. Sales of 590,000 had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The decline [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 23 2016

  U.S. FHFA House Price Index Increase Is Steady

  The Federal Housing Finance Agency's (FHFA) index of U.S. house prices increased 0.6% during September following an unrevised 0.7% August gain. The y/y change remained fairly steady at 6.1%, but three-month growth in prices improved [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 23 2016

  U.S. Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance Increase

  Initial unemployment insurance claims increased 18,000 (-4.9% y/y) to 251,000 during the week ended November 19 following a fall to 233,000 claims in the week prior, revised from 235,000. It remained the lowest level of claims since [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 22 2016

  U.S. Existing Home Sales Reach 2007 High; Prices Decline

  Sales of existing homes increased 2.0% (5.9% y/y) during October to 5.600 million (AR) after a 3.6% increase to 5.490 million in September, revised up from 5.470 million. The latest level was the highest since February 2007. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 18 2016

  Kansas City Federal Reserve Factory Index Weakens; Expectations Ease

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City reported that its index of regional manufacturing sector business activity declined to 1 during November from an unrevised 6 during each of the prior two months. That still represented [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Nov 18 2016

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicators Nudge Higher

  The Conference Board's Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators improved 0.1% during October (1.1% y/y) following an unrevised 0.2% September increase. The gain matched expectations in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief