Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Dec 12 2016

  U.S. Runs a $136.7 billion Budget Deficit in November

  The U.S. Treasury Department reported that during November, the federal government ran a budget deficit of $136.7 billion. A $125.0 billion deficit had expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. So far in FY'17, the federal [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 12 2016

  U.S. Runs a $136.7 billion Budget Deficit in November

  The U.S. Treasury Department reported that during November, the federal government ran a budget deficit of $136.7 billion. A $125.0 billion deficit had expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. So far in FY'17, the federal [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 09 2016

  U.S. Wholesale Inventories Decline; Sales Increase

  Inventories at the wholesale level fell 0.4% (-0.4% y/y) during October following an unrevised 0.1% September rise. The advance report had indicated a 0.6% October decline. Inventories of durable goods declined 0.3% (-2.2% y/y) after [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 08 2016

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Exhibit Broad-Based Strength

  Improvement in factory output worldwide has given life to industrial commodity prices. The Industrial Materials Price Index from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER) increased 4.9% during the last [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 08 2016

  U.S. Claims for Jobless Insurance Retreat

  Initial unemployment insurance claims declined to 258,000 (-7.5% y/y) in the week ended December 3 following an unrevised increase to 268,000 in the prior week. Expectations had been for 255,000 claims in the Action Economics Forecast [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 07 2016

  U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Slackens

  Consumer credit outstanding increased $16.0 during October (6.6% y/y) following a $21.8 billion rise in September, revised from $19.3 billion. A $19.0 billion increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Over [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 07 2016

  U.S. JOLTS: U.S. Labor Market Activity Holds Steady

  The total job openings rate stood at 3.7% during October, unchanged from September. It remained down from the record high of 3.9% in July. The private-sector job openings rate fell, however, to 3.9% from 4.0%, but was up slightly from [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 07 2016

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Ease as Rates Rise Further

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Market Volume Index declined 0.7% last week (-2.4% y/y) to the lowest level since the first week of January. Refinancing applications fell 0.7% (-7.1% y/y), also to the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 06 2016

  U.S. Energy Product Prices Strengthen

  Regular gasoline prices increased to $2.21 per gallon (7.5% y/y) last week, the highest level in four weeks. Prices remained down versus a 2014 high of $3.71 per gallon. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 06 2016

  U.S. Productivity Rose 3.1% in Q3

  Growth in nonfarm output per hour during Q3'16 was unrevised at 3.1% (SAAR, 0.0% y/y) following a 0.2% Q2 decline. A 3.3% increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. It remained the strongest rise in two years. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 06 2016

  U.S. Factory Orders Surge as Aircraft Soars

  Manufacturing sector orders jumped 2.7% during October (1.3% y/y) following a 0.6% September gain, revised from 0.3%. Durable goods bookings increased 4.6% (1.8% y/y), revised from the advance estimate of a 4.8% rise. Transportation [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Dec 06 2016

  U.S. Trade Deficit Deepens as Imports Surge

  The U.S. trade deficit in goods and services increased to $42.6 billion during October from $36.2 billion in September, revised $36.4 billion. The Action Economics Forecast Survey expected a $42.0 billion deficit. Total imports [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief