Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jul 25 2017

  U.S. Consumer Confidence Strengthens

  The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index jumped 3.2% (25.2% y/y) during July to 121.1 following a 0.3% June dip, revised from +1.1%. Despite the increase, the index remained 3.0% below its March peak, which was its highest level [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 25 2017

  U.S. FHFA House Price Inflation Remains Firm

  The Federal Housing Finance Agency's (FHFA) index of U.S. house prices rose 7.5% (AR) during the last three months, compared to a 6.2% gain during all of last year. In May, prices rose 0.4% (6.9% y/y) following a 0.6% April gain, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 24 2017

  U.S. Existing Home Sales Ease While Prices Improve

  Sales of existing homes declined 1.8% (+0.7% y/y) during June to 5.520 million units (AR) from an unrevised 5.620 million in May. It was the lowest level of sales since February. Expectations were for 5.580 million sales in the Action [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 21 2017

  U.S. Unemployment Rate Decline Varies Greatly by State

  Unemployment at a 10-year low of 4.5% reflected 1.4% y/y growth in employment and a dampened 0.8% gain in the size of the labor pool. Amongst the states, unemployment continued to be widely divergent. Two states held above the 6.0% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 20 2017

  U.S. Leading Economic Indicator Gain Improves

  The Conference Board's Composite Index of Leading Economic Indicators increased 0.6% (4.0% y/y) during June following a 0.2% May gain, revised from 0.3%. It was the strongest increase since January. A 0.3% rise had been expected in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 20 2017

  Philadelphia Fed Factory Conditions Index Declines Further

  The Philadelphia Federal Reserve reported that its General Factory Sector Business Conditions Index fell to 19.5 during July and added to its June decline to 27.6. It was the lowest reading since November. The figure compared to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 20 2017

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Return to Nine-Week Low

  Initial claims for jobless insurance claims fell to 233,000 (-4.4%) during the week ended July 15 from 248,000 in the prior week, revised from 247,000. Expectations called for 245,000 claims in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. It [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 19 2017

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Rebound

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Applications Volume Index increased 6.3% (-32.2% y/y) in the week ended July 14 following a 7.4% decline in the prior week. Purchase applications improved 1.1% (6.8% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 19 2017

  U.S. Housing Starts & Building Permits Rebound

  Total housing starts increased 8.3% (2.1% y/y) during June to 1.215 million (AR) from 1.122 million in May, revised from 1.092 million. It was the highest level of starts since February. Starts of 1.150 million had been expected in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 18 2017

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Ease; Crude Oil Costs Improve

  Regular gasoline prices fell to $2.28 per gallon last week (+2.2% y/y) from $2.30 in the prior week. They were down versus the high of $2.45 per gallon in late-April. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 18 2017

  U.S. Home Builder Index Falls Again

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo declined 3.0% to 64 during July following a June fall of 4.3% fall to 66, revised from -2.9%. Despite five m/m declines this year, the index [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jul 18 2017

  U.S. Import Prices Fall As Petroleum Prices Ease; Export Prices Also Decline

  Import prices declined 0.2% during June (+1.5% y/y) following a 0.1% May dip, revised from -0.3%. The Action Economics Forecast Survey also expected a 0.2% fall. These figures are not seasonally adjusted. Petroleum import prices fell [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief