Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jan 09 2018

  U.S. JOLTS: Job Openings and Hiring Rates Erode

  The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the total job openings rate in November fell to 3.8%, its lowest level in six months. The hiring rate also fell slightly to 3.7% from the expansion high of 3.8%. These figures are from the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 09 2018

  U.S. Small Business Optimism Strengthens in 2017

  Last year, the Small Business Optimism Index from the National Federation of Independent Business rose to a record 104.8 (1986=100). For December alone, the index eased 2.4% to 104.9 and was 0.9% below one year earlier. A stable 27% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 08 2018

  U.S. Consumer Credit Usage Surges

  Consumer credit outstanding strengthened $27.96 billion (5.3% y/y) during November after a little-revised $20.53 billion October rise. It was the strongest increase since November 2001. An $18.0 billion gain had been expected in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 08 2018

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Prices Continue to Improve

  The Industrial Materials Price Index from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER) rose 2.4% during the last four weeks following a 6.7% during all of last year. Recent price improvement came as U.S. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 05 2018

  U.S. Payroll Increase Disappoints; Earnings Gain Picks Up & Jobless Rate Holds Steady

  The labor market exhibited tepid growth last month. Nonfarm payrolls increased 148,000 (1.5% y/y) during December following a 252,000 November rise and a 211,000 October gain. Together these two figures were revised down by 9,000. A [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 05 2018

  U.S. Payroll Increase Disappoints; Earnings Gain Picks Up & Jobless Rate Holds Steady

  The labor market exhibited tepid performance last month. Nonfarm payrolls increased 148,000 (1.5% y/y) during December following a 252,000 November rise and a 211,000 October gain. Together these two figures were revised down by [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 04 2018

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Rise

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance increased to 250,000 (0.4% y/y) during the week ended December 30 following 247,000 claims in the week prior, revised from 247,000. Expectations had been for 239,000 claims in the Action [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 04 2018

  U.S. ADP Private Payroll Growth Strengthens Unexpectedly

  The ADP/Moody's National Employment Report indicated that private nonfarm payrolls rose 250,000 (2.1% y/y) during December, the largest increase since March. The rise followed little- revised increases of 185,000 and 238,000 in [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 03 2018

  U.S. Light Vehicle Sales Ease from Record High

  Total sales of light vehicles during 2017 totaled 17.27 million units, just slightly below the record 17.51 million averaged during 2015 and 2016, according to the Autodata Corporation. During December alone, however, sales improved [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 03 2018

  U.S. Construction Spending Continues to Rise

  The value of construction put-in-place increased 0.8% (2.6% y/y) during November following a 0.9% October increase, initially reported as 1.4%. September's 1.3% gain was stronger than reported earlier. A 0.7% gain in activity had been [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 03 2018

  ISM Factory Sector Index Strengthens

  The ISM manufacturing sector composite index increased to 59.7 during December and recovered November's decline. For all of last year, the index rose to 57.4, its highest level since 2004. A level of 58.2 had been expected for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 03 2018

  U.S. Energy Prices Strengthen

  Retail gasoline prices increased to $2.52 per gallon (6.0% y/y) last week, the highest level since late November. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal variation in gasoline pump prices. At $2.64 per gallon, [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief