Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Jan 24 2018

  U.S. FHFA House Price Gains Continue to Diverge

  The Federal Housing Finance Agency's (FHFA) index of U.S. house prices rose 6.6% y/y during November. The rate of increase has picked up from its low of 5.2% in 2014. In the month of November, prices rose 0.4% m/m after a 0.6% October [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 23 2018

  U.S. State Unemployment Ranges Widely

  As the unemployment rate declined during December to a 10-year low of 4.1%, it continued to vary greatly amongst the states. At the high end were two states which realized unemployment at or above 6.0%. At the low end, were several [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 23 2018

  U.S. Gasoline, Crude Oil & Natural Gas Prices Increase

  Retail gasoline prices rose to $2.57 per gallon (10.4% y/y) last week from $2.56 per gallon. It was the highest level since November. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal variation in gasoline pump prices. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 23 2018

  Philadelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Conditions Recover

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's Nonmanufacturing Business Index of current conditions at the company level increased to 29.3 in January from 20.6 during December. It was the highest index level since August. Forty-six [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 19 2018

  U.S. Mortgage Loan Applications Increase as Interest Rates Rise

  The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its total Mortgage Applications Volume Index rose 4.1% last week (6.3% y/y) following an 8.3% rise during the prior week. Purchase loan applications rose 2.7% (8.6% y/y) following a 5.0% [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 18 2018

  Philadelphia Fed Factory Conditions Index Weakens

  The Philadelphia Federal Reserve reported that its General Factory Sector Business Conditions Index declined to 22.2 during January from 27.9 in December. Expectations had been for a reading of 25.0 in the Action Economics Forecast [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 18 2018

  U.S. Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Decline to 1973 Low

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance dropped to 220,000 (+2.0% y/y) during the week ended January 13 following an unrevised 261,000 claims in the week prior. The latest reading was the lowest in 45 years. Expectations had been [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 18 2018

  U.S. Housing Starts Decline Sharply

  Total housing starts fell 8.2% (-6.0% y/y) during December to 1.192 million from 1.299 million in November, revised from 1.297 million. A level of 1.275 million starts had been expected in the Action Economic Forecast Survey. During [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 17 2018

  U.S. Home Builder Index Eases

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo fell 2.7% (+7.5% y/y) to 72 during January following its 7.2% December surge. The decline matched expectations in the Informa Global Markets [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 17 2018

  U.S. Industrial Production Strengthens with Cold Weather; Factory Output Edges Higher

  The Federal Reserve indicated that industrial production increased 0.9% (3.6% y/y) during December following a 0.1% dip in November, revised from +0.2%. A 0.4% rise had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. Last [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 17 2018

  U.S. Gasoline & Crude Oil Prices Strengthen

  Retail gasoline prices rose to $2.56 per gallon (8.4% y/y) last week, the highest level in one month. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal variation in gasoline pump prices. The price increased sharply to [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Jan 16 2018

  Empire State Factory Sector Index Weakens

  The Empire State Manufacturing Index of General Business Conditions in January declined to 17.7 following a revised drop to 19.6 during December. Earlier figures also were revised. The latest level was the lowest in six months, but [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief