Introducing

Tom Moeller

Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio.   Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984.   He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C.   In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists.   Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller

• Global| Mar 21 2018

  U.S. Current Account Deficit Increases

  The U.S. current account deficit rose to $128.2 billion during Q4 2017 from $101.5 billion in Q3. It was the largest deficit since Q4 2008. The Q4 deficit figure compared to $124.7 billion expected in the Action Economics Forecast [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 20 2018

  Philadelphia Fed Nonmanufacturing Business Activity Growth Eases

  The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's Nonmanufacturing Business Index of current conditions at the company level declined to 27.6 in March from 32.1 during February. It was the lowest index level since December. Forty-one percent [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 20 2018

  U.S. Gasoline Prices Increase

  Retail gasoline prices rose to $2.60 per gallon last week (11.9% y/y), but remained below last month's high of $2.64 per gallon. Haver Analytics constructs factors adjusting for the seasonal variation in gasoline pump prices. The [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 19 2018

  FIBER: Industrial Commodity Price Gains Have Slowed

  The Industrial Materials Price Index from the Foundation for International Business and Economic Research (FIBER) improved 1.2% (7.3% y/y) during the last four weeks as factory sector production around the world continued to improve. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 16 2018

  U.S. Housing Starts and Building Permits Weaken

  Total housing starts in February declined 7.0% (-4.0% y/y) to 1.236 million (AR) from 1.329 million in January, revised from 1.326 million. A level of 1.290 million starts had been expected in the Action Economic Forecast Survey. [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 16 2018

  U.S. Industrial Production Strengthens

  The Federal Reserve reported that industrial production increased 1.1% (4.4% y/y) during February following a 0.3% January dip, revised from -0.1%. It was the largest increase since October 2017. A 0.3% rise had been expected in the [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 15 2018

  Philadelphia Fed Factory Conditions Declines; Prices Ease

  The Philadelphia Federal Reserve reported that its General Factory Sector Business Conditions Index fell to 22.3 during March and reversed February's rise. Expectations had been for a reading of 23.0 in the Action Economics Forecast [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 15 2018

  U.S. Home Builder Index Slips

  The Composite Housing Market Index from the National Association of Home Builders-Wells Fargo eased to 70 during March from 71 in February, revised from 72. It was the lowest figure since November. The reading compared to expectations [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 15 2018

  U.S. Import & Export Prices Increase

  Import prices rose 0.4% (3.5% y/y) during February following a 0.8% January gain, revised from 1.0%. A 0.3% rise had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast Survey. These figures are not seasonally adjusted Petroleum import [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 15 2018

  U.S. Unemployment Insurance Claims Slip

  Initial claims for unemployment insurance claims fell to 226,000 during the week ended March 10 from 230,000 in the prior week, revised from 231,000. Claims remain near the lowest level since December 1969. Expectations had been for [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 14 2018

  U.S. Business Inventories Steadily Accumulate; Sales Ease

  Total business inventories increased 0.6% (3.7% y/y) during January, the same as in December, revised from 0.4%. Total business sales fell 0.2% (+5.7% y/y), the first decline since last March. The changes in inventories and sales [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief
• Global| Mar 14 2018

  U.S. Retail Sales Decline for Third Consecutive Month

  Total retail sales slipped 0.1% (+4.0% y/y) during February, following two months of similar decline. January's result was revised from -0.3% reported initially. A 0.4% increase had been expected in the Action Economics Forecast [...]

  by:Tom Moeller

  |in:Economy in Brief