• COVID-19 depresses business. • Outlook worsens. The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas reported in its Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey for April that the Current General Business Activity Index weakened to a record low of -73.7 from [...]
Introducing
Tom Moeller
in:Our Authors
Prior to joining Haver Analytics in 2000, Mr. Moeller worked as the Economist at Chancellor Capital Management from 1985 to 1999. There, he developed comprehensive economic forecasts and interpreted economic data for equity and fixed income portfolio managers. Also at Chancellor, Mr. Moeller worked as an equity analyst and was responsible for researching and rating companies in the economically sensitive automobile and housing industries for investment in Chancellor’s equity portfolio. Prior to joining Chancellor, Mr. Moeller was an Economist at Citibank from 1979 to 1984. He also analyzed pricing behavior in the metals industry for the Council on Wage and Price Stability in Washington, D.C. In 1999, Mr. Moeller received the award for most accurate forecast from the Forecasters' Club of New York. From 1990 to 1992 he was President of the New York Association for Business Economists. Mr. Moeller earned an M.B.A. in Finance from Fordham University, where he graduated in 1987. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Economics from George Washington University.

Publications by Tom Moeller
Global| Apr 27 2020
Texas Manufacturing Sector Activity Continues to Decline in April
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 27 2020
Texas Manufacturing Sector Activity Continues to Decline in April
• COVID-19 depresses business. • Outlook worsens. The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas reported in its Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey for April that the Current General Business Activity Index weakened to a record low of -73.7 from [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 24 2020
U.S. Durable Goods Orders & Shipments Fall
• Durable goods orders weaken 14.4% in March, the sharpest decline since August 2014. • Commercial aircraft orders plummet. • Inventories surge. Manufacturers' orders for durable goods fell 14.4% last month (-16.0% y/y) following a [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 24 2020
U.S. Durable Goods Orders & Shipments Fall
• Durable goods orders weaken 14.4% in March, the sharpest decline since August 2014. • Commercial aircraft orders plummet. • Inventories surge.
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 23 2020
Kansas City Fed Factory Index Weakens Further
• Midwest economic activity is under pressure. • New orders, employment and prices are falling. • Expectations improve modestly. The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City reported that its manufacturing business activity index declined [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 23 2020
U.S. Claims for Unemployment Insurance Slip, but Remain Historically High
• Initial claims for jobless insurance eased to 4.427 million last week. • Roughly 26 million individuals filed new claims during the last five weeks. • The insured jobless rate jumped to 11.0%. Initial jobless claims for unemployment [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 23 2020
U.S. Claims for Unemployment Insurance Slip, but Remain Historically High
• Initial claims for jobless insurance eased to 4.427 million last week. • Roughly 26 million individuals filed new claims during the last five weeks. • The insured jobless rate jumped to 11.0%. Initial jobless claims for unemployment [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 23 2020
U.S. Claims for Unemployment Insurance Slip, but Remain Historically High
• Initial claims for jobless insurance eased to 4.427 million last week. • Roughly 26 million individuals filed new claims during the last five weeks. • The insured jobless rate jumped to 11.0%. Initial jobless claims for unemployment [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 22 2020
U.S. FHFA House Prices Increase Pre-Coronavirus
• Home prices remained firm in mid-winter. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) Price Index increased 0.7% during February following a 0.5% rise in January, revised from 0.3%. The 5.7% y/y gain had been fairly steady since early [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 22 2020
U.S. Mortgage Applications & Interest Rates Are Little Changed
• The housing market remains weak. • Financing rates are low. The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that its Mortgage Loan Application Index eased 0.3% (+70.0% y/y) in the week ended April 17 after the prior week's 7.3% increase. [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 22 2020
U.S. FHFA House Prices Increase Pre-Coronavirus
• Home prices remained firm in mid-winter. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) Price Index increased 0.7% during February following a 0.5% rise in January, revised from 0.3%. The 5.7% y/y gain had been fairly steady since early [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
Global| Apr 22 2020
U.S. FHFA House Prices Increase Pre-Coronavirus
• Home prices remained firm in mid-winter. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) Price Index increased 0.7% during February following a 0.5% rise in January, revised from 0.3%. The 5.7% y/y gain had been fairly steady since early [...]
by:Tom Moeller
|in:Economy in Brief
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