Oil prices are leading inflation higher in the EMU as well a globally. Oil and other commodities are gaining pace as growth looks to be more established, as virus-fighting seems to be more effective, as vaccination progresses on a [...]
Introducing
Robert Brusca
in:Our Authors
Robert A. Brusca is Chief Economist of Fact and Opinion Economics, a consulting firm he founded in Manhattan. He has been an economist on Wall Street for over 25 years. He has visited central banking and large institutional clients in over 30 countries in his career as an economist. Mr. Brusca was a Divisional Research Chief at the Federal Reserve Bank of NY (Chief of the International Financial markets Division), a Fed Watcher at Irving Trust and Chief Economist at Nikko Securities International. He is widely quoted and appears in various media. Mr. Brusca holds an MA and Ph.D. in economics from Michigan State University and a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan. His research pursues his strong interests in non aligned policy economics as well as international economics. FAO Economics’ research targets investors to assist them in making better investment decisions in stocks, bonds and in a variety of international assets. The company does not manage money and has no conflicts in giving economic advice.
Publications by Robert Brusca
Global| Mar 10 2021PPI in EMU Begins to Stir- Still Restrained
- Global| Mar 09 2021
OECD LEI Ticks Higher for the Eighth Straight Month of Gains
The OECD LEI continues to claw its way to higher ground. It has now risen month-to-month for eight months in a row. The LEI rose by one tick in February, by two ticks in January, and by one tick in December. While this is a steady [...]
- Global| Mar 08 2021
Economy Watchers Index Improves as Outlook Spurts
The economy watchers current index improved smartly to 41.3 in February from 31.2 in January as the outlook index jumped to 51.3 from 39.9. The outlook index (above a raw score of 50 in diffusion terms) now has more optimism than [...]
- Global| Mar 05 2021
German Order Growth Gets Back in Gear Despite the Headwinds
German order growth is back in gear with total orders rising by 1.4% month-to-month in January. The gain, however, is generated wholly by foreign orders that surged by 4.2% in January after dropping by 3.1% month-to-month in December. [...]
- Global| Mar 04 2021
EMU Unemployment Rate Steadies in January
The overall EMU unemployment rate was steady in January, off peak, but still elevated. In January of the early members, nine have reported unemployment rates for January. Of those nine, four of them have lower unemployment rates. [...]
- Global| Mar 03 2021
Global PMIs Show Ongoing Struggle with Growth
While manufacturing climbs higher, the services sector remains stuck and nearly unresponsive to stimulus efforts. However, the global services sector did pick up in February rising to 52.8 from 51.6 in January. Emerging markets barely [...]
- Global| Mar 02 2021
Post Covid-19 Turbulence Rocks and Weakens German Retail Sales
German and other European retail sales have been put through a sort of test of fire in the wake of the covid-19 virus arrival and its various episodes of spreading. As an example, even in the U.S. where now over 20% of the population [...]
- Global| Mar 01 2021
Manufacturing PMIs Are Strengthening More in the Developed World
PMIs largely are improving in February with declines in only six and increases in eight (excluding France and Germany who already are counted in the EMU). The unweighted average for February rose for the overall group (excluding [...]
- Global| Feb 26 2021
Japan's Industrial Sector Mounts a Comeback
Japan's IP surged in January gaining 4.3% compared to December; that breaks a two-month slide in output. Total industry output is still lower by 1.4% over 12 months. The robust gain gets the new quarter off to a strong start with [...]
- Global| Feb 25 2021
EU Commission Indexes Coalesce Well Short of Normalcy
The EU Commission Index for the EMU shows an improvement to 93.4 in February from 91.5 in January putting the index back on the rise after a month in which the index fell. Ranking the current value on the index in a queue of its [...]
- Global| Feb 24 2021
French Sectors Show Minor Recovery from Pre-Covid19 Levels
French industry climate improved in February by a modest 1.4 points. It remains 3.5 points below its February 2020 (Pre-Covid19) level. After improving for two months in a row, the services index fell in February and now stands below [...]
- Global| Feb 23 2021
EMU HICP Makes First Year-on-Year Rise since July
The EMU headline rose by 0.8% in January, its first year-on-year gain in six months (July 2020). Inflation in the euro area is clearly accelerating with the 12-month pace at 0.8%, the six-month pace at 2% and the three-month pace up [...]
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