Italy's Business sentiment index is up in March rising to 103.8 from 103.1 in February. The index sits in the 71st percentile of its range and at the 62nd percentile of its ranked queue. While it is reaching a post-recession high its [...]
Introducing
Robert Brusca
in:Our Authors
Robert A. Brusca is Chief Economist of Fact and Opinion Economics, a consulting firm he founded in Manhattan. He has been an economist on Wall Street for over 25 years. He has visited central banking and large institutional clients in over 30 countries in his career as an economist. Mr. Brusca was a Divisional Research Chief at the Federal Reserve Bank of NY (Chief of the International Financial markets Division), a Fed Watcher at Irving Trust and Chief Economist at Nikko Securities International. He is widely quoted and appears in various media. Mr. Brusca holds an MA and Ph.D. in economics from Michigan State University and a BA in Economics from the University of Michigan. His research pursues his strong interests in non aligned policy economics as well as international economics. FAO Economics’ research targets investors to assist them in making better investment decisions in stocks, bonds and in a variety of international assets. The company does not manage money and has no conflicts in giving economic advice.

Publications by Robert Brusca
Global| Mar 29 2011Italy's Economy Still Hitting Bumps And Potholes
Global| Mar 23 2011Euro-Area Orders Barely Edge Up on Strong Foreign Demand
EMU orders are up by just 0.1% in January after rising by 2.7% in December and 2.1% in November. Despite the weak January result the three-month growth rate is up at an accelerated rate of growth compared to six months and is slightly [...]
Global| Mar 22 2011UK Inflation Takes Another Step Up
The UK HICP and RPIX indices rose sharply in February but slowed their pace from January, when the HICP rose by 0.9% and the RPIX rose by a sharp 1.1%. The measure of core inflation lags. But the core rate has been accelerating as the [...]
Global| Mar 18 2011EMU Trade Stays in Deficit
In Europe, Euro-Area trade flows are mostly steady with Yr/Yr growth rates in excess of 20%. The balance of trade had swung back into deficit three months ago and it remains there. Exports and imports each are losing a slight bit of [...]
Global| Mar 17 2011Japan's Service Sector Was Firing Up Before Disaster Struck...Then Disaster Struck...What's Next?
The chart and table tell the story of an economy that fell deeply into recession but has seen its service sector recover. The recovery in that sector is by no means full and the MFG sector, which is also on the mend, is short of what [...]
Global| Mar 16 2011EMU Inflation Picture Puts ECB on Hot/Cold Seat
EMU inflation's trend is clear - The chart shows the inflation rate for EMU and for the largest three economies. The trend is clear. For the moment the Yr/Yr pace of EMU inflation is leading this pack, but German inflation is closing [...]
Global| Mar 10 2011German Trade Shows Slowing Exports - But Why?
German exports, although expected to remain strong in 2011, fell in January taking their 3-month growth rate into negative territory along with it. Notwithstanding this set-back the German trade group BGA just yesterday affirmed the [...]
Global| Mar 09 2011German IP, Risk & Geopolyconomics
German industrial output is up in January after two straight months of decline. The rise was sharp and put the three-month growth rate back into positive territory but that rate still shows deceleration from its six month pace and is [...]
Global| Mar 03 2011Service Sectors Continue to Advance...Mostly
Europe's PMI index for services from Markit was revised lower from its preliminary reading but still managed to make a month-to-month gain. Germany's index actually dropped month-to-month as did the UK's service sector index. As a [...]
Global| Mar 02 2011PPI Prices Climb Sharply in EMU
The PPI in the Euro Area is up to 6.1% Yr/Yr and still accelerating. Over 6-mos the pace is 8.5%and over 3-Mo the paces is 12.3%. Most of the damage is being done in the intermediate goods sectors where commodity prices, especially [...]
Global| Mar 01 2011MFG Is At Strong Diffusion Levels Across MOST of EMU
The chart shows that EMU countries had completed much of their recession rebound according to the diffusion indices by late 2010; after some minor weakness, indices have moved up to even stronger levels. The EMU PMI gauge overall and [...]
Global| Feb 25 2011UK GDP in Q4 Is Worse Than Expected
It was expected that GDP would be an upward revision and not a downward revision. There were some hopes that UK GDP would eliminate the decline in Q4 that was viewed as 'pre-mature.' Instead UK GDP has fallen by more in Q4 than had [...]
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